LEVELnews: Great Lakes and St. Lawrence River water levels, August 2018

Volume 26, Number 8

All beginning-of-August levels at or below those of last year

The beginning-of-August levels of all the Great Lakes were at the same level or below those seen at the same time in 2017. This is due to the relatively dryer conditions across the Great Lakes basin in the past year compared to those of a year ago. However all of the Great Lake levels remain above average, with the July monthly average levels ranging from 6 cm to 49 cm above period-of-record monthly average (1918–2017) and beginning-of-August levels ranging from 2 cm to 46 cm above their period-of- record averages. The water levels in the lower St. Lawrence River varied through July due to slowly decreasing outflows from Lake Ontario and variable flows from the Ottawa River but the July monthly mean level was also above average.

July monthly lake levels

All the Great Lakes had above average monthly mean water levels in July. Lake Erie continued to be the highest above average of the Great Lakes but Lake Ontario has been moving toward average values and became the closest to average for the month of July, instead of Lake Superior’s, which have been closest for the last few months.

Lake level changes

A combination of mixed water supplies across the Great Lakes for July combined with continued above average outflows resulted in all the lakes except Superior experiencing dryer than average conditions during the month of July.

Beginning-of-August lake levels

All the Great Lakes beginning-of-August levels were above average but the same or below those seen one year ago at the same time.

Great Lakes water level information:
July 2018 monthly mean level
Lake Compared to monthly average (1918-2017) Compared to one year ago
Superior 14 cm above  10 cm below
Michigan-Huron 40 cm above 1 cm below
St. Clair 51 cm above  1 cm above
Erie 49 cm above  1 cm above
Ontario  6 cm above 63 cm below
Great Lakes water level information:
beginning-of-August 2018 level
Lake Compared to beginning-of-month average (1918-2017) Compared to one year ago
Superior 13 cm above  9 cm below
Michigan-Huron 39 cm above  4 cm below
St. Clair 52 cm above  2 cm below
Erie 46 cm above Same
Ontario  2 cm above 60 cm below

Current water levels

When planning activities around the Great Lakes it is often useful to know the current water levels before heading out. Great Lake levels change from day-to-day due to lake wide changes in water quantity as well as local wave and wind effects. In order to keep up with current water level conditions on the lakes there are several sources that can be used.

Water levels forecast

With the summer period about half complete at the beginning of August most lakes are now expected to enter their late summer seasonal declines assuming average water supplies. Relative to its beginning-of-August levels, Lake Superior’s levels are expected to remain steady through the month of August with average water supplies. All the other Great Lakes are expected to continue their seasonal declines through August.   Based on past conditions on the lakes (1918–2017), and their beginning-of-August water levels, all the Great Lakes are likely to remain above average for the remainder of the summer. With the wet July supplies on Lake Superior and the relatively high levels of Lakes Michigan–Huron and Erie, these lakes are expected to stay above average for the next three months, even if very dry conditions are encountered. The probable range of future levels for Lake Superior are between 1 cm and 24 cm above average, Lake Michigan–Huron are between 26 cm and 50 cm above average and Lake Erie are between 27 cm and 54 cm above average through to October. Levels of Lake Ontario could fall below average by the end of August, if dry conditions occur. Lake Ontario is estimated to be between 15 cm below average to 19 cm above average by October. Even if very wet conditions are encountered, it is unlikely that any of the lakes will hit their record high levels by the beginning of fall. For more information on how the probable range of water levels is forecasted see the July 2018 edition of LEVELnews. For a graphical representation of recent and forecasted water levels on the Great Lakes, refer to the Canadian Hydrographic Service’s monthly water levels bulletin.


July precipitation over the Great Lakes a,b
Lake %
Great Lakes Basin 80%
Lake Superior 89%
Lake Michigan-Huron 68%
Lake Erie
(including Lake St. Clair)
Lake Ontario 93%
July outflows from the Great Lakes a
Lake %
Lake Superior 109%
Lake Michigan-Huron 108%
Lake Erie 116%
Lake Ontario 119%

a As a percentage of July long-term average.
b United States Army Corps of Engineers

Note : These figures are preliminary.


For more information:

Derrick Beach (Editor)
Boundary Water Issues
Meteorological Service Canada
Environment and Climate Change Canada
Burlington ON L7S 1A1
Tel.: 905-336-4714
Fax: 905-319-6939
Email: ec.LEVELnews-infoNIVEAU.ec@canada.ca

Rob Caldwell
Great Lakes-St. Lawrence Regulation Office
Meteorological Service Canada
Environment and Climate Change Canada
111 Water Street East
Cornwall ON K6H 6S2
Tel.: 613-938-5864

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