Department of Finance – Deputy Minister Information Binder: Policy branches

September 2023

Table of Contents

  1. Crown Investment and Asset Management Branch
  2. Economic Development Branch
  3. Economic Policy Branch
  4. Federal-Provincial Relations and Social Policy Branch
  5. Financial Sector Policy
  6. Fiscal Policy Branch
  7. International Trade and Finance Branch
  8. Office of the Special Representative for the Deputy Minister (Joe Wild)
  9. Tax Policy Branch

Crown Investment and Asset Management Branch

Briefing note

Transition Materials for Incoming Deputy Minister – CIAM Branch

For Information

Issue

Background

Assessment

Near-term pressures (4-6 weeks)

Trans Mountain Corporation

*Redacted*

Parallel to this work, considerations around Indigenous economic participation in Trans Mountain is also being developed. *Redacted*, will be meeting with eligible Indigenous groups at the end of September to discuss options.

*Redacted*

Canada Growth Fund

Pathways Alliance

*Redacted*

*Redacted*

Carbon Contracts for Difference

*Redacted*

Canada Development Investment Corporation

*Redacted*

Large Enterprise Emergency Financing Facility

*Redacted*

Atlantic Loop

*Redacted*

*Redacted*

Long-term items

Support for Newfoundland and Labrador

*Redacted*

Drafted by: Crown Investment and Asset Management Branch

ADM: Greg Reade, *redacted*

Attachment (1)

2023FIN513011 – Information Memo to Minister on carbon contracts for difference

Briefing note for the minister of finance

Carbon contracts for difference – key design considerations

(For Information)

Issue

Background

*Redacted*

Assessment

*Redacted*

Drafted by: Ryan Gossack-Keenan, Jesse Shuster-Leibner, Riley McDonald, Economic Development Branch and Corporate Investment and Management Branch.

ADMs: Sam Millar (EDB), Greg Reade (CIAM).

*Redacted*

Economic Development Branch

Deputy Minister and Associate Deputy Minister of Finance Canada Transition

Economic Development Branch (EDB) Key Files and Priorities

  1. Pre-FES (next 4-6 weeks)

*Redacted*

Briefing note for the minister of finance

*Redacted*

(For Decision)

*Redacted*

Economic Policy Branch

Briefing note to the deputy minister of finance

Economic policy branch – on-boarding

(For Information)

Issue

Background

Priority Files

Green Transition and Climate Change

Internal Trade

*Redacted*

Improving Competition

*Redacted*

Fiscal Anchor

*Redacted*

Integrated Climate Lens

*Redacted*

Drafted by: Economic Policy Branch Management

AADM (acting): Julie Turcotte, *redacted*

Attachments (2): Briefing note to the Deputy Minister of Finance, State of the Canadian Economy; Briefing note to the Minister of Finance, Proposed Action on Internal Trade

Annex A

Department of Finance

Economic Policy Branch

Figure 1
Department of Finance
Economic Policy Branch
Figure 1: Department of Finance - Economic Policy Branch
Text version
  • Assistant Deputy Minister
    Economic Policy Branch
    Turcotte, Julie (Acting)
    • ADMO
      Linda Olsen
      Marie-Pier Lanthier
      Tracy Mudoch
    • Director General
      Economic Analysis & Forecasting
      Emde, Matt (acting)
      • Senior Director
        Demand & Labour Analysis
        Capeluck, Evan (acting)
      • Director
        CDN Forecast, Private Sector Analysis
        Lee, Frank
      • Director
        US Economic Analysis & Forecasting
        Lawson, Tyler
      • Senior Director
        Economic & Financial Analysis, Prov. Sector Analysis
        Torgunrud, Brian
      • Director
        Model Development
        Bédard, Alexandre
    • Director General
      Economic Studies and Policy Analysis
      Paterson, Nelson
      • Senior Director
        Macroeconomic Analysis
        Leung, Danny (*redacted*)
      • Director
        Policy Analysis
        Kim, Hankook
      • Director
        Fiscal Policy Analysis
        Tremblay, Dominique
      • Director
        Structural Analysis
        Armstrong, Alexander (acting)

Briefing note to the deputy minister of finance

State of the Canadian Economy

(For Information)

Issue

Background

Summary Perspectives

*Redacted*

Recent Developments

Near-Term Outlook

*Redacted*

Expected September 2023 Survey of Private Sector Economists

We are currently surveying private sector economists. We will send you a summary of the survey results after the survey closes on Tuesday, September 12th. *Redacted*

Chart 1
Real GDP Growth
Chart 1: Real GDP Growth
Text version
Period Real GDP Growth, period over period per cent change, annualized
2021H1 4.2
2021H2 4.0
2022H1 3.9
2022H2 2.0
2023H1 1.2
Chart 2
Population Growth
Chart 2: Population Growth
Text version
Quarter Population growth, year-over-year change in millions
Q1-1970 0.294
Q2-1970 0.294
Q3-1970 0.296
Q4-1970 0.289
Q1-1971 0.283
Q2-1971 0.279
Q3-1971 0.638032
Q4-1971 0.639243
Q1-1972 0.627498
Q2-1972 0.625919
Q3-1972 0.256431
Q4-1972 0.249256
Q1-1973 0.254961
Q2-1973 0.256473
Q3-1973 0.273314
Q4-1973 0.281839
Q1-1974 0.302079
Q2-1974 0.317882
Q3-1974 0.316192
Q4-1974 0.337052
Q1-1975 0.329652
Q2-1975 0.325716
Q3-1975 0.335306
Q4-1975 0.333195
Q1-1976 0.325007
Q2-1976 0.320855
Q3-1976 0.306533
Q4-1976 0.29298
Q1-1977 0.287516
Q2-1977 0.286894
Q3-1977 0.276035
Q4-1977 0.26788
Q1-1978 0.25779
Q2-1978 0.246948
Q3-1978 0.23736
Q4-1978 0.224002
Q1-1979 0.222386
Q2-1979 0.224493
Q3-1979 0.238341
Q4-1979 0.253597
Q1-1980 0.273476
Q2-1980 0.290115
Q3-1980 0.314123
Q4-1980 0.32449
Q1-1981 0.31999
Q2-1981 0.314531
Q3-1981 0.304248
Q4-1981 0.316586
Q1-1982 0.313874
Q2-1982 0.309243
Q3-1982 0.297027
Q4-1982 0.273418
Q1-1983 0.263601
Q2-1983 0.258303
Q3-1983 0.249509
Q4-1983 0.240612
Q1-1984 0.239528
Q2-1984 0.239489
Q3-1984 0.240602
Q4-1984 0.243518
Q1-1985 0.238812
Q2-1985 0.234856
Q3-1985 0.235063
Q4-1985 0.237129
Q1-1986 0.241244
Q2-1986 0.244898
Q3-1986 0.258162
Q4-1986 0.272842
Q1-1987 0.293726
Q2-1987 0.326755
Q3-1987 0.346323
Q4-1987 0.354731
Q1-1988 0.346188
Q2-1988 0.332795
Q3-1988 0.345146
Q4-1988 0.390285
Q1-1989 0.430028
Q2-1989 0.468611
Q3-1989 0.485034
Q4-1989 0.47004
Q1-1990 0.431194
Q2-1990 0.419385
Q3-1990 0.414357
Q4-1990 0.404896
Q1-1991 0.391311
Q2-1991 0.361676
Q3-1991 0.346282
Q4-1991 0.319736
Q1-1992 0.326616
Q2-1992 0.340862
Q3-1992 0.333844
Q4-1992 0.34685
Q1-1993 0.352125
Q2-1993 0.331165
Q3-1993 0.3135
Q4-1993 0.312442
Q1-1994 0.30217
Q2-1994 0.306584
Q3-1994 0.315899
Q4-1994 0.309753
Q1-1995 0.30613
Q2-1995 0.304093
Q3-1995 0.301648
Q4-1995 0.299902
Q1-1996 0.304955
Q2-1996 0.302676
Q3-1996 0.307907
Q4-1996 0.311932
Q1-1997 0.304679
Q2-1997 0.303795
Q3-1997 0.29573
Q4-1997 0.286584
Q1-1998 0.27697
Q2-1998 0.262168
Q3-1998 0.249225
Q4-1998 0.236849
Q1-1999 0.231611
Q2-1999 0.234516
Q3-1999 0.246113
Q4-1999 0.260467
Q1-2000 0.265755
Q2-2000 0.279334
Q3-2000 0.284444
Q4-2000 0.291863
Q1-2001 0.298569
Q2-2001 0.316966
Q3-2001 0.335172
Q4-2001 0.34515
Q1-2002 0.344952
Q2-2002 0.342386
Q3-2002 0.339177
Q4-2002 0.322645
Q1-2003 0.311279
Q2-2003 0.297386
Q3-2003 0.283949
Q4-2003 0.286105
Q1-2004 0.297032
Q2-2004 0.295901
Q3-2004 0.296627
Q4-2004 0.30209
Q1-2005 0.299016
Q2-2005 0.295274
Q3-2005 0.303098
Q4-2005 0.314009
Q1-2006 0.318589
Q2-2006 0.32836
Q3-2006 0.327421
Q4-2006 0.326744
Q1-2007 0.322392
Q2-2007 0.315711
Q3-2007 0.317851
Q4-2007 0.321426
Q1-2008 0.332912
Q2-2008 0.341506
Q3-2008 0.358093
Q4-2008 0.37028
Q1-2009 0.376437
Q2-2009 0.383755
Q3-2009 0.381777
Q4-2009 0.384659
Q1-2010 0.380479
Q2-2010 0.377961
Q3-2010 0.375994
Q4-2010 0.374606
Q1-2011 0.35857
Q2-2011 0.341142
Q3-2011 0.334439
Q4-2011 0.326315
Q1-2012 0.350253
Q2-2012 0.362401
Q3-2012 0.374894
Q4-2012 0.37801
Q1-2013 0.366767
Q2-2013 0.365437
Q3-2013 0.368732
Q4-2013 0.375858
Q1-2014 0.36652
Q2-2014 0.365317
Q3-2014 0.354481
Q4-2014 0.347181
Q1-2015 0.325548
Q2-2015 0.287738
Q3-2015 0.265473
Q4-2015 0.263847
Q1-2016 0.295949
Q2-2016 0.359032
Q3-2016 0.406579
Q4-2016 0.435832
Q1-2017 0.442963
Q2-2017 0.42771
Q3-2017 0.435749
Q4-2017 0.462497
Q1-2018 0.484309
Q2-2018 0.500418
Q3-2018 0.519848
Q4-2018 0.529162
Q1-2019 0.526827
Q2-2019 0.524515
Q3-2019 0.536146
Q4-2019 0.559653
Q1-2020 0.583766
Q2-2020 0.563236
Q3-2020 0.405936
Q4-2020 0.19701
Q1-2021 0.134449
Q2-2021 0.138191
Q3-2021 0.219332
Q4-2021 0.419425
Q1-2022 0.472688
Q2-2022 0.520547
Q3-2022 0.703404
Q4-2022 0.865882
Q1-2023 1.05011
Q2-2023 1.21356
Chart 3
Unemployment Rate
Chart 3: Unemployment Rate
Text version
Month Unemployment Rate Current level of unemployment rate (July 2023)
Jan-1976 7.1 5.5
Feb-1976 7 5.5
Mar-1976 6.7 5.5
Apr-1976 6.8 5.5
May-1976 6.9 5.5
Jun-1976 6.9 5.5
Jul-1976 7.4 5.5
Aug-1976 7.1 5.5
Sep-1976 7 5.5
Oct-1976 7.4 5.5
Nov-1976 7.4 5.5
Dec-1976 7.5 5.5
Jan-1977 7.6 5.5
Feb-1977 7.9 5.5
Mar-1977 7.8 5.5
Apr-1977 7.9 5.5
May-1977 7.8 5.5
Jun-1977 7.8 5.5
Jul-1977 8.1 5.5
Aug-1977 8.2 5.5
Sep-1977 8.3 5.5
Oct-1977 8.4 5.5
Nov-1977 8.5 5.5
Dec-1977 8.5 5.5
Jan-1978 8.3 5.5
Feb-1978 8.3 5.5
Mar-1978 8.5 5.5
Apr-1978 8.4 5.5
May-1978 8.6 5.5
Jun-1978 8.4 5.5
Jul-1978 8.3 5.5
Aug-1978 8.4 5.5
Sep-1978 8.4 5.5
Oct-1978 8.2 5.5
Nov-1978 8.3 5.5
Dec-1978 8.3 5.5
Jan-1979 8.2 5.5
Feb-1979 8 5.5
Mar-1979 7.9 5.5
Apr-1979 8 5.5
May-1979 7.6 5.5
Jun-1979 7.4 5.5
Jul-1979 7.2 5.5
Aug-1979 7.1 5.5
Sep-1979 7 5.5
Oct-1979 7.2 5.5
Nov-1979 7.2 5.5
Dec-1979 7.2 5.5
Jan-1980 7.5 5.5
Feb-1980 7.6 5.5
Mar-1980 7.6 5.5
Apr-1980 7.7 5.5
May-1980 7.8 5.5
Jun-1980 7.7 5.5
Jul-1980 7.6 5.5
Aug-1980 7.6 5.5
Sep-1980 7.3 5.5
Oct-1980 7.3 5.5
Nov-1980 7.2 5.5
Dec-1980 7.3 5.5
Jan-1981 7.4 5.5
Feb-1981 7.4 5.5
Mar-1981 7.4 5.5
Apr-1981 7.1 5.5
May-1981 7.2 5.5
Jun-1981 7.2 5.5
Jul-1981 7.2 5.5
Aug-1981 7.1 5.5
Sep-1981 8.1 5.5
Oct-1981 8.3 5.5
Nov-1981 8.3 5.5
Dec-1981 8.7 5.5
Jan-1982 8.6 5.5
Feb-1982 8.9 5.5
Mar-1982 9.3 5.5
Apr-1982 9.8 5.5
May-1982 10.3 5.5
Jun-1982 11.1 5.5
Jul-1982 11.9 5.5
Aug-1982 12 5.5
Sep-1982 12.4 5.5
Oct-1982 12.9 5.5
Nov-1982 12.9 5.5
Dec-1982 13.1 5.5
Jan-1983 12.7 5.5
Feb-1983 12.7 5.5
Mar-1983 12.5 5.5
Apr-1983 12.4 5.5
May-1983 12.4 5.5
Jun-1983 12.4 5.5
Jul-1983 11.9 5.5
Aug-1983 11.7 5.5
Sep-1983 11.4 5.5
Oct-1983 11.3 5.5
Nov-1983 11.3 5.5
Dec-1983 11.3 5.5
Jan-1984 11.3 5.5
Feb-1984 11.3 5.5
Mar-1984 11.3 5.5
Apr-1984 11.5 5.5
May-1984 11.7 5.5
Jun-1984 11.3 5.5
Jul-1984 11.2 5.5
Aug-1984 11.3 5.5
Sep-1984 11.8 5.5
Oct-1984 11.3 5.5
Nov-1984 11.4 5.5
Dec-1984 11.1 5.5
Jan-1985 10.6 5.5
Feb-1985 10.8 5.5
Mar-1985 11 5.5
Apr-1985 10.8 5.5
May-1985 10.6 5.5
Jun-1985 10.7 5.5
Jul-1985 10.4 5.5
Aug-1985 10.3 5.5
Sep-1985 10.2 5.5
Oct-1985 10.3 5.5
Nov-1985 10.3 5.5
Dec-1985 10.1 5.5
Jan-1986 9.8 5.5
Feb-1986 9.9 5.5
Mar-1986 9.8 5.5
Apr-1986 9.7 5.5
May-1986 9.5 5.5
Jun-1986 9.6 5.5
Jul-1986 9.6 5.5
Aug-1986 9.6 5.5
Sep-1986 9.5 5.5
Oct-1986 9.4 5.5
Nov-1986 9.4 5.5
Dec-1986 9.5 5.5
Jan-1987 9.5 5.5
Feb-1987 9.5 5.5
Mar-1987 9.4 5.5
Apr-1987 9.2 5.5
May-1987 8.9 5.5
Jun-1987 8.9 5.5
Jul-1987 8.7 5.5
Aug-1987 8.6 5.5
Sep-1987 8.4 5.5
Oct-1987 8.3 5.5
Nov-1987 8.2 5.5
Dec-1987 8 5.5
Jan-1988 8.1 5.5
Feb-1988 7.8 5.5
Mar-1988 7.8 5.5
Apr-1988 7.7 5.5
May-1988 7.8 5.5
Jun-1988 7.6 5.5
Jul-1988 7.8 5.5
Aug-1988 7.8 5.5
Sep-1988 7.8 5.5
Oct-1988 7.8 5.5
Nov-1988 7.8 5.5
Dec-1988 7.5 5.5
Jan-1989 7.5 5.5
Feb-1989 7.6 5.5
Mar-1989 7.5 5.5
Apr-1989 7.8 5.5
May-1989 7.7 5.5
Jun-1989 7.5 5.5
Jul-1989 7.5 5.5
Aug-1989 7.3 5.5
Sep-1989 7.3 5.5
Oct-1989 7.2 5.5
Nov-1989 7.5 5.5
Dec-1989 7.7 5.5
Jan-1990 7.9 5.5
Feb-1990 7.7 5.5
Mar-1990 7.3 5.5
Apr-1990 7.6 5.5
May-1990 7.8 5.5
Jun-1990 7.6 5.5
Jul-1990 7.9 5.5
Aug-1990 8.1 5.5
Sep-1990 8.5 5.5
Oct-1990 8.8 5.5
Nov-1990 9.1 5.5
Dec-1990 9.5 5.5
Jan-1991 9.8 5.5
Feb-1991 10.2 5.5
Mar-1991 10.5 5.5
Apr-1991 10.3 5.5
May-1991 10.2 5.5
Jun-1991 10.5 5.5
Jul-1991 10.5 5.5
Aug-1991 10.5 5.5
Sep-1991 10.3 5.5
Oct-1991 10.3 5.5
Nov-1991 10.4 5.5
Dec-1991 10.3 5.5
Jan-1992 10.4 5.5
Feb-1992 10.5 5.5
Mar-1992 10.9 5.5
Apr-1992 10.7 5.5
May-1992 10.9 5.5
Jun-1992 11.4 5.5
Jul-1992 11.3 5.5
Aug-1992 11.7 5.5
Sep-1992 11.6 5.5
Oct-1992 11.4 5.5
Nov-1992 12.1 5.5
Dec-1992 11.7 5.5
Jan-1993 11.2 5.5
Feb-1993 11 5.5
Mar-1993 11.2 5.5
Apr-1993 11.6 5.5
May-1993 11.6 5.5
Jun-1993 11.7 5.5
Jul-1993 11.6 5.5
Aug-1993 11.2 5.5
Sep-1993 11.5 5.5
Oct-1993 11.3 5.5
Nov-1993 11.2 5.5
Dec-1993 11.4 5.5
Jan-1994 11.4 5.5
Feb-1994 11.1 5.5
Mar-1994 10.6 5.5
Apr-1994 10.9 5.5
May-1994 10.7 5.5
Jun-1994 10.3 5.5
Jul-1994 10.1 5.5
Aug-1994 10.2 5.5
Sep-1994 10.1 5.5
Oct-1994 10 5.5
Nov-1994 9.7 5.5
Dec-1994 9.6 5.5
Jan-1995 9.6 5.5
Feb-1995 9.6 5.5
Mar-1995 9.7 5.5
Apr-1995 9.5 5.5
May-1995 9.5 5.5
Jun-1995 9.5 5.5
Jul-1995 9.6 5.5
Aug-1995 9.5 5.5
Sep-1995 9.2 5.5
Oct-1995 9.3 5.5
Nov-1995 9.2 5.5
Dec-1995 9.4 5.5
Jan-1996 9.4 5.5
Feb-1996 9.5 5.5
Mar-1996 9.6 5.5
Apr-1996 9.3 5.5
May-1996 9.2 5.5
Jun-1996 9.8 5.5
Jul-1996 9.7 5.5
Aug-1996 9.4 5.5
Sep-1996 9.9 5.5
Oct-1996 9.9 5.5
Nov-1996 9.9 5.5
Dec-1996 9.7 5.5
Jan-1997 9.5 5.5
Feb-1997 9.5 5.5
Mar-1997 9.3 5.5
Apr-1997 9.4 5.5
May-1997 9.4 5.5
Jun-1997 9.1 5.5
Jul-1997 8.9 5.5
Aug-1997 8.9 5.5
Sep-1997 8.8 5.5
Oct-1997 8.9 5.5
Nov-1997 8.9 5.5
Dec-1997 8.5 5.5
Jan-1998 8.8 5.5
Feb-1998 8.6 5.5
Mar-1998 8.4 5.5
Apr-1998 8.3 5.5
May-1998 8.3 5.5
Jun-1998 8.4 5.5
Jul-1998 8.3 5.5
Aug-1998 8.1 5.5
Sep-1998 8.2 5.5
Oct-1998 8 5.5
Nov-1998 8 5.5
Dec-1998 8.1 5.5
Jan-1999 7.9 5.5
Feb-1999 7.9 5.5
Mar-1999 7.9 5.5
Apr-1999 8.2 5.5
May-1999 7.9 5.5
Jun-1999 7.6 5.5
Jul-1999 7.6 5.5
Aug-1999 7.4 5.5
Sep-1999 7.5 5.5
Oct-1999 7.2 5.5
Nov-1999 6.9 5.5
Dec-1999 6.8 5.5
Jan-2000 6.8 5.5
Feb-2000 6.9 5.5
Mar-2000 6.9 5.5
Apr-2000 6.7 5.5
May-2000 6.6 5.5
Jun-2000 6.7 5.5
Jul-2000 6.8 5.5
Aug-2000 7 5.5
Sep-2000 6.9 5.5
Oct-2000 7 5.5
Nov-2000 6.9 5.5
Dec-2000 6.8 5.5
Jan-2001 6.9 5.5
Feb-2001 7 5.5
Mar-2001 7.1 5.5
Apr-2001 7.1 5.5
May-2001 7 5.5
Jun-2001 7.2 5.5
Jul-2001 7.1 5.5
Aug-2001 7.2 5.5
Sep-2001 7.2 5.5
Oct-2001 7.3 5.5
Nov-2001 7.5 5.5
Dec-2001 8.1 5.5
Jan-2002 8 5.5
Feb-2002 7.9 5.5
Mar-2002 7.9 5.5
Apr-2002 7.7 5.5
May-2002 7.8 5.5
Jun-2002 7.6 5.5
Jul-2002 7.6 5.5
Aug-2002 7.4 5.5
Sep-2002 7.6 5.5
Oct-2002 7.6 5.5
Nov-2002 7.5 5.5
Dec-2002 7.6 5.5
Jan-2003 7.5 5.5
Feb-2003 7.5 5.5
Mar-2003 7.4 5.5
Apr-2003 7.6 5.5
May-2003 7.8 5.5
Jun-2003 7.6 5.5
Jul-2003 7.7 5.5
Aug-2003 7.8 5.5
Sep-2003 7.9 5.5
Oct-2003 7.6 5.5
Nov-2003 7.4 5.5
Dec-2003 7.3 5.5
Jan-2004 7.3 5.5
Feb-2004 7.3 5.5
Mar-2004 7.3 5.5
Apr-2004 7.2 5.5
May-2004 7.1 5.5
Jun-2004 7.2 5.5
Jul-2004 7.1 5.5
Aug-2004 7 5.5
Sep-2004 6.9 5.5
Oct-2004 7.1 5.5
Nov-2004 7.2 5.5
Dec-2004 7.1 5.5
Jan-2005 6.9 5.5
Feb-2005 7 5.5
Mar-2005 6.9 5.5
Apr-2005 6.7 5.5
May-2005 7 5.5
Jun-2005 6.8 5.5
Jul-2005 6.7 5.5
Aug-2005 6.7 5.5
Sep-2005 6.7 5.5
Oct-2005 6.7 5.5
Nov-2005 6.3 5.5
Dec-2005 6.6 5.5
Jan-2006 6.7 5.5
Feb-2006 6.6 5.5
Mar-2006 6.5 5.5
Apr-2006 6.5 5.5
May-2006 6.2 5.5
Jun-2006 6.3 5.5
Jul-2006 6.5 5.5
Aug-2006 6.5 5.5
Sep-2006 6.5 5.5
Oct-2006 6.3 5.5
Nov-2006 6.5 5.5
Dec-2006 6.3 5.5
Jan-2007 6.4 5.5
Feb-2007 6.3 5.5
Mar-2007 6.3 5.5
Apr-2007 6.3 5.5
May-2007 6.2 5.5
Jun-2007 6.1 5.5
Jul-2007 6 5.5
Aug-2007 6 5.5
Sep-2007 6 5.5
Oct-2007 6 5.5
Nov-2007 6.1 5.5
Dec-2007 6.2 5.5
Jan-2008 6.1 5.5
Feb-2008 6.1 5.5
Mar-2008 6.2 5.5
Apr-2008 6.2 5.5
May-2008 6.2 5.5
Jun-2008 6.1 5.5
Jul-2008 6.2 5.5
Aug-2008 6.2 5.5
Sep-2008 6.3 5.5
Oct-2008 6.4 5.5
Nov-2008 6.7 5.5
Dec-2008 7 5.5
Jan-2009 7.5 5.5
Feb-2009 8.1 5.5
Mar-2009 8.3 5.5
Apr-2009 8.4 5.5
May-2009 8.6 5.5
Jun-2009 8.8 5.5
Jul-2009 8.8 5.5
Aug-2009 8.8 5.5
Sep-2009 8.5 5.5
Oct-2009 8.5 5.5
Nov-2009 8.6 5.5
Dec-2009 8.6 5.5
Jan-2010 8.4 5.5
Feb-2010 8.4 5.5
Mar-2010 8.3 5.5
Apr-2010 8.2 5.5
May-2010 8.1 5.5
Jun-2010 8 5.5
Jul-2010 8.2 5.5
Aug-2010 8.2 5.5
Sep-2010 8.2 5.5
Oct-2010 8.1 5.5
Nov-2010 7.8 5.5
Dec-2010 7.8 5.5
Jan-2011 7.8 5.5
Feb-2011 7.8 5.5
Mar-2011 7.8 5.5
Apr-2011 7.8 5.5
May-2011 7.7 5.5
Jun-2011 7.7 5.5
Jul-2011 7.4 5.5
Aug-2011 7.4 5.5
Sep-2011 7.4 5.5
Oct-2011 7.5 5.5
Nov-2011 7.6 5.5
Dec-2011 7.5 5.5
Jan-2012 7.7 5.5
Feb-2012 7.6 5.5
Mar-2012 7.3 5.5
Apr-2012 7.4 5.5
May-2012 7.5 5.5
Jun-2012 7.4 5.5
Jul-2012 7.3 5.5
Aug-2012 7.4 5.5
Sep-2012 7.4 5.5
Oct-2012 7.4 5.5
Nov-2012 7.3 5.5
Dec-2012 7.2 5.5
Jan-2013 7.1 5.5
Feb-2013 7 5.5
Mar-2013 7.3 5.5
Apr-2013 7.2 5.5
May-2013 7 5.5
Jun-2013 7.2 5.5
Jul-2013 7.3 5.5
Aug-2013 7.2 5.5
Sep-2013 7.1 5.5
Oct-2013 7.2 5.5
Nov-2013 7.1 5.5
Dec-2013 7.4 5.5
Jan-2014 7.2 5.5
Feb-2014 7.2 5.5
Mar-2014 7.1 5.5
Apr-2014 7.1 5.5
May-2014 7.3 5.5
Jun-2014 7.1 5.5
Jul-2014 7.1 5.5
Aug-2014 7 5.5
Sep-2014 7 5.5
Oct-2014 6.8 5.5
Nov-2014 6.8 5.5
Dec-2014 6.7 5.5
Jan-2015 6.8 5.5
Feb-2015 6.9 5.5
Mar-2015 6.8 5.5
Apr-2015 6.9 5.5
May-2015 6.8 5.5
Jun-2015 6.9 5.5
Jul-2015 6.9 5.5
Aug-2015 7 5.5
Sep-2015 7.1 5.5
Oct-2015 7 5.5
Nov-2015 7.1 5.5
Dec-2015 7.2 5.5
Jan-2016 7.3 5.5
Feb-2016 7.3 5.5
Mar-2016 7.2 5.5
Apr-2016 7.3 5.5
May-2016 7 5.5
Jun-2016 6.9 5.5
Jul-2016 6.9 5.5
Aug-2016 6.9 5.5
Sep-2016 7 5.5
Oct-2016 6.9 5.5
Nov-2016 6.8 5.5
Dec-2016 6.9 5.5
Jan-2017 6.8 5.5
Feb-2017 6.6 5.5
Mar-2017 6.7 5.5
Apr-2017 6.5 5.5
May-2017 6.6 5.5
Jun-2017 6.5 5.5
Jul-2017 6.3 5.5
Aug-2017 6.2 5.5
Sep-2017 6.2 5.5
Oct-2017 6.4 5.5
Nov-2017 6.1 5.5
Dec-2017 6 5.5
Jan-2018 5.9 5.5
Feb-2018 6 5.5
Mar-2018 5.8 5.5
Apr-2018 5.8 5.5
May-2018 5.9 5.5
Jun-2018 6 5.5
Jul-2018 5.9 5.5
Aug-2018 6 5.5
Sep-2018 5.8 5.5
Oct-2018 5.7 5.5
Nov-2018 5.7 5.5
Dec-2018 5.7 5.5
Jan-2019 5.7 5.5
Feb-2019 5.8 5.5
Mar-2019 5.9 5.5
Apr-2019 5.7 5.5
May-2019 5.4 5.5
Jun-2019 5.6 5.5
Jul-2019 5.8 5.5
Aug-2019 5.8 5.5
Sep-2019 5.6 5.5
Oct-2019 5.6 5.5
Nov-2019 5.9 5.5
Dec-2019 5.6 5.5
Jan-2020 5.5 5.5
Feb-2020 5.7 5.5
Mar-2020 8.4 5.5
Apr-2020 13.6 5.5
May-2020 14.1 5.5
Jun-2020 12.4 5.5
Jul-2020 11 5.5
Aug-2020 10.2 5.5
Sep-2020 9.2 5.5
Oct-2020 9 5.5
Nov-2020 8.7 5.5
Dec-2020 8.9 5.5
Jan-2021 9.2 5.5
Feb-2021 8.5 5.5
Mar-2021 7.6 5.5
Apr-2021 8.2 5.5
May-2021 8.2 5.5
Jun-2021 7.8 5.5
Jul-2021 7.5 5.5
Aug-2021 7.2 5.5
Sep-2021 7.1 5.5
Oct-2021 6.6 5.5
Nov-2021 6.2 5.5
Dec-2021 6 5.5
Jan-2022 6.5 5.5
Feb-2022 5.4 5.5
Mar-2022 5.3 5.5
Apr-2022 5.3 5.5
May-2022 5.2 5.5
Jun-2022 4.9 5.5
Jul-2022 4.9 5.5
Aug-2022 5.3 5.5
Sep-2022 5.2 5.5
Oct-2022 5.2 5.5
Nov-2022 5.1 5.5
Dec-2022 5 5.5
Jan-2023 5 5.5
Feb-2023 5 5.5
Mar-2023 5 5.5
Apr-2023 5 5.5
May-2023 5.2 5.5
Jun-2023 5.4 5.5
Jul-2023 5.5 5.5
Chart 4
Unemployed-to-Job-Vacancies
Chart 4: Unemployed-to-Job-Vacancies
Text version
Month Ratio of unemployed people to job vacancies
Jan-2016 3.819884
Feb-2016 3.969511
Mar-2016 3.851534
Apr-2016 4.157103
May-2016 3.761347
Jun-2016 3.511585
Jul-2016 3.606769
Aug-2016 3.40542
Sep-2016 3.764126
Oct-2016 3.648179
Nov-2016 3.561798
Dec-2016 3.300144
Jan-2017 3.27279
Feb-2017 3.076209
Mar-2017 2.977768
Apr-2017 2.990099
May-2017 3.039897
Jun-2017 3.029311
Jul-2017 2.870782
Aug-2017 2.816918
Sep-2017 2.694705
Oct-2017 2.768637
Nov-2017 2.47879
Dec-2017 2.446182
Jan-2018 2.406816
Feb-2018 2.361613
Mar-2018 2.268129
Apr-2018 2.286339
May-2018 2.262641
Jun-2018 2.27947
Jul-2018 2.218298
Aug-2018 2.366146
Sep-2018 2.194109
Oct-2018 2.010905
Nov-2018 2.07394
Dec-2018 2.041161
Jan-2019 2.083583
Feb-2019 2.132588
Mar-2019 2.158924
Apr-2019 2.096738
May-2019 1.985379
Jun-2019 2.112162
Jul-2019 2.191969
Aug-2019 2.215619
Sep-2019 2.222158
Oct-2019 2.170522
Nov-2019 2.322803
Dec-2019 2.189207
Jan-2020 1.898706
Feb-2020 2.020106
Mar-2020 3.091528
Apr-2020
May-2020
Jun-2020
Jul-2020
Aug-2020
Sep-2020
Oct-2020 3.213507
Nov-2020 3.107443
Dec-2020 3.172173
Jan-2021 3.265866
Feb-2021 2.776697
Mar-2021 2.422035
Apr-2021 2.541063
May-2021 2.467867
Jun-2021 2.098975
Jul-2021 1.897944
Aug-2021 1.691246
Sep-2021 1.60928
Oct-2021 1.467578
Nov-2021 1.400104
Dec-2021 1.262709
Jan-2022 1.426143
Feb-2022 1.221905
Mar-2022 1.107357
Apr-2022 1.10273
May-2022 1.072027
Jun-2022 1.042498
Jul-2022 1.037447
Aug-2022 1.195592
Sep-2022 1.176903
Oct-2022 1.225847
Nov-2022 1.224151
Dec-2022 1.231637
Jan-2023 1.212845
Feb-2023 1.275331
Mar-2023 1.314475
Apr-2023 1.348034
May-2023 1.440138
Jun-2023 1.522595
Chart 5
Canadian Inflation Metrics
Chart 5: Canadian Inflation Metrics
Text version
Month Average of CPI Trim and CPI Median, year-over-year Headline Inflation, year over year Average of CPI Trim and CPI Median, three month annualized rate
Jan-2019 1.8 1.4 2.1
Feb-2019 1.9 1.5 2.6
Mar-2019 2.1 1.9 2.6
Apr-2019 1.9 2.0 2.0
May-2019 2.1 2.4 1.9
Jun-2019 2.0 2.0 1.5
Jul-2019 2.0 2.0 2.0
Aug-2019 2.0 1.9 1.8
Sep-2019 2.0 1.9 1.9
Oct-2019 2.0 1.9 2.0
Nov-2019 2.1 2.2 2.1
Dec-2019 2.0 2.2 2.2
Jan-2020 2.0 2.4 1.9
Feb-2020 1.9 2.2 1.8
Mar-2020 1.8 0.9 1.7
Apr-2020 1.9 -0.2 1.5
May-2020 1.7 -0.4 1.0
Jun-2020 1.8 0.7 1.6
Jul-2020 1.7 0.1 1.5
Aug-2020 1.7 0.1 2.0
Sep-2020 1.8 0.5 1.9
Oct-2020 1.9 0.7 2.8
Nov-2020 1.9 1.0 3.0
Dec-2020 1.9 0.7 2.4
Jan-2021 2.0 1.0 2.2
Feb-2021 2.0 1.1 2.1
Mar-2021 2.2 2.2 2.7
Apr-2021 2.3 3.4 2.8
May-2021 2.6 3.6 3.2
Jun-2021 2.6 3.1 3.4
Jul-2021 3.0 3.7 4.0
Aug-2021 3.2 4.1 4.4
Sep-2021 3.3 4.4 4.5
Oct-2021 3.2 4.7 3.8
Nov-2021 3.2 4.7 3.2
Dec-2021 3.6 4.8 3.7
Jan-2022 3.8 5.1 4.7
Feb-2022 4.1 5.7 5.6
Mar-2022 4.5 6.7 6.5
Apr-2022 4.9 6.8 7.1
May-2022 5.2 7.7 7.7
Jun-2022 5.4 8.1 6.7
Jul-2022 5.4 7.6 6.1
Aug-2022 5.2 7.0 4.4
Sep-2022 5.2 6.9 4.0
Oct-2022 5.3 6.9 3.5
Nov-2022 5.4 6.8 3.9
Dec-2022 5.3 6.3 3.8
Jan-2023 5.1 5.9 3.7
Feb-2023 4.9 5.2 3.6
Mar-2023 4.5 4.3 3.6
Apr-2023 4.3 4.4 3.9
May-2023 3.9 3.4 3.7
Jun-2023 3.8 2.8 3.8
Chart 6
Implied Bank of Canada Policy Rate
Chart 6: Implied Bank of Canada Policy Rate
Text version
Month Actual Bank of Canada Policy Rate (end-of-period) Implied Policy Rate
Jan-23 4.25
Feb-23 4.50
Mar-23 4.50
Apr-23 4.50
May-23 4.50
Jun-23 4.75
Jul-23 5.00
Aug-23 5.00
Sep-23 5.00
Oct-23 5.05
Nov-23 5.10
Dec-23 5.12
Jan-24 5.12
Feb-24 5.10
Mar-24 5.10
Apr-24 5.08
May-24 5.07
Jun-24 5.05
Jul-24 5.01
Aug-24 4.92
Sep-24 4.81
Oct-24 4.73
Nov-24 4.69
Dec-24 4.70
Jan-25 4.68
Feb-25 4.63
Mar-25 4.53
Apr-25 4.44
May-25 4.35
Jun-25 4.29
Jul-25 4.24
Aug-25 4.19
Sep-25 4.15
Oct-25 4.11
Nov-25 4.06
Dec-25 4.01

*Redacted*

Drafted by:  Geoffroy Bilodeau-Fortin, Brian Waterman, and Carl Gaudreault

Acting ADM Julie Turcotte (*redacted*)

Briefing note to the minister of finance

Proposed action on internal trade

(For Information)

Issue

*Redacted*

Background

*Redacted*

Assessment

Explicit Trade Barriers

*Redacted*

Implicit (Regulatory) Trade Barriers

*Redacted*

Removing Barriers to Labour Mobility

*Redacted*

Next Steps

*Redacted*

Drafted by: Kaleigh Dowsett, Economic Policy Branch

ADM:  Economic Policy Branch, Julie Turcotte, *redacted*

FPRSP Branch, Alison McDermott, *redacted*

Economic Development Branch, Samuel Millar, *redacted*

Annex A – Types of Internal Trade Barriers

Canada faces three main types of internal trade barriers, each with their own root causes and an ideal mitigation strategy in the current environment:

Annex B – List of CFTA Bodies and Their Roles

The CFTA created or incorporated several bodies and processes that play interrelated roles in advancing internal trade liberalization:

Annex C – Recent PT Labour Mobility Changes

Recent and proposed changes to inter-provincial recognition:

Alberta

Atlantic provinces

Ontario

Recent and proposed changes to foreign credential recognition:

Ontario

British Columbia

Alberta

*Redacted*

Federal-Provincial Relations and Social Policy Branch

Briefing note to the deputy minister

Transition – key files in FPRSP

Issue

*Redacted*

Drafted by: Thomas Ward (FPRSP)

Annex A – Near-Term Pressures

Immediate Pressures (next 4-6 weeks)
Issues Description
Social Policy
*Redacted* *Redacted*
*Redacted* *Redacted*
*Redacted* *Redacted*
Labour Market Transfer Agreements Budget 2023 provided $625M in 2023-24 to extend expiring top-up funding under the Labour Market Transfer Agreements (base funding of $2.9B/year ongoing). *Redacted*
2024-2026 Immigration Levels Plan The Government must table the new Levels Plan in Parliament by November 1. *Redacted*. There were more than 807,000 international students with study permits across all levels of education in 2022, up from about 300,000 in 2013.
Indigenous
  • *Redacted*
Litigation *Redacted*
Child Welfare and Jordan's Principle The government reached a $23.3 billion settlement to compensate children and families who were harmed by the discriminatory underfunding of child welfare and Jordan's Principle (pending court approval).The government is currently negotiating long term program reforms to resolve the human rights complaint regarding child welfare on reserve and Jordan's Principle. *Redacted*
Justice and Security
Gun Buy Back The assault-style weapons ban occurred over three years ago, and the government is expected to show progress on its firearms buy-back program. *Redacted*
Wildfires/Emergency management In response to the severe 2023 wildfires season, the government has deployed the Canadian Armed Forces, matched donations to support the Canadian Red Cross' and the United Way's emergency response efforts, and supported PTs in accessing existing programs which will cover up to 90% of P/T response and recovery costs (Disaster Financial Assistance Arrangements) and up to 100% of on-reserve response and recovery costs (Emergency Management Assistance Program).*Redacted*
FPT Relations
*Redacted* *Redacted*
Equalization and TFF renewal Following consultations with PTs, BIA 2023 extended the authority to make Equalization and TFF payments to March 2029 with minor technical changes. *Redacted*
*Redacted* *Redacted*
Finance Minister's Meeting The Minister will need to decide on the timing and agenda for a Finance Minister's meeting (e.g., December). *Redacted*. FPT Finance Ministers last met in February and there has been no meeting or call since.  *Redacted*.
Alberta Pension Plan Alberta is expected to release an actuarial report, potentially in September, on the proposal to create an Alberta Pension Plan. *Redacted*
Survivor Benefit – Canada Pension Plan The Government has a commitment to increase the survivor benefit in the Canada Pension Plan by 25 per cent; *Redacted*
Service Delivery *Redacted*
Fall Economic Statement
Issues Description
Social Policy
Canada-Québec Accord on Immigration *Redacted*Quebec received $726.7M in 2022-23 (+$29.7M relative to 2021-22).
Passports *Redacted*
Indigenous Policy
Water/Wastewater Infrastructure As part of the Safe Drinking Water for First Nations Class Action settlement process, the government agreed to replace existing drinking water legislation and committed to $6 billion in spending. *Redacted*
Economic reconciliation/Access to Capital There are 470 major natural resource projects under construction or planned over the next 10 years in Canada, worth approximately $520B in investment – many will directly impact Indigenous communities.Budget 2023 committed to explore additional access to capital support for Indigenous groups that wish to make equity investments in natural resource projects *redacted*.

*Redacted*

Table 1: Indigenous Funding Pressures (pre-FES)

*Redacted*

Annex B – Supplementary Issues

*Redacted*.

Briefing note to the minister of finance

Fall Economic Statement 2023 housing package – early directions

(For Information)

Issue

Background

*Redacted*

Assessment

Status Report on Previous Investments

*Redacted*.

Timing

*Redacted*

Financial Implications

*Redacted*

Drafted by: Megan Beverley, FPRSP

S/ADM: Michelle Kovacevic (*redacted*)

*Redacted*

Annex C – Selected Ongoing Housing Measures, By Area of Focus

1. Municipal Barriers
Municipal Barriers

Housing Accelerator Fund

Budget 2022

Led by Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC)

$4 billion over five years to launch a new program to incentivize municipalities to unlock new housing supply and fast-track the creation of 100,000 new homes across Canada.

  • Completed
*Redacted*

Conditionality on Infrastructure Programming

Budget 2022

Led by Infrastructure Canada (INFC)

Budget 2022 signalled the government's intention to create flexibility within federal infrastructure programs to tie access to infrastructure funding to actions by provinces, territories, and municipalities to increase housing supply, where it makes sense to do so.

*Redacted*
2. Labour Supply - Construction/Skilled Trades
Labour Supply - Construction/Skilled Trades

Targeted Selection via Express Entry

Budget 2022 (BIA)

Led by Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC)

  • Ongoing
  • For 2023, IRCC has implemented a new "category-based" selection approach. The department will be inviting candidates to apply for permanent residency based on specific criteria, including at least 6 months of work experience in a wide range of construction-related occupations (e.g., carpenters, plumbers, contractors and supervisors, installers/repairers).

Federal Skilled Trades Program

N/A - Longstanding program

Led by Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC)

  • Ongoing
  • Since 2013, the Federal Skilled Trades Program has offered a dedicated permanent residence pathway for skilled trades workers with at least 2 years of work experience and either a job offer or certificate of qualification.

Apprenticeship Supports

Various Budgets

Led by Employment and Social Development Canada (ESDC)

  • Ongoing
  • Substantial federal financial support for apprentices entering the skilled trades, including Canada Apprenticeship loans and grants; tax credits; retraining provided via Labour Market Development Agreements.
  • Incentives for employers to hire and train apprentices include: the Apprenticeship Service, which supports first-year apprentices in construction and manufacturing trades by providing employers with $5,000 for upfront costs like salary and training, or $10,000 for members of underrepresented groups; Union Training and Innovation Program supports union-led training in Red Seal trades.

Sectoral Workforce Solutions Program

Budget 2021

Led by Employment and Social Development Canada (ESDC)

Announced in Budget 2021, this program funds sectoral-led, third party organizations to design and deliver training that is relevant to the needs of small and medium-sized businesses, including in the construction sector.

  • Ongoing
  • Recently launched projects include funding for the Canada Green Building Council to reskill workers in the construction sector to support decarbonization of buildings; for a consortium of colleges to offer free micro-credentials that support the transition to a clean economy in sectors including construction; and for Buildforce Canada to bring new workers into the construction sector, especially from equity-deserving groups.
3. Finance and Tax Incentives to Build Supply
Finance and Tax Incentives to Build Supply

Multigenerational Home Renovation Tax Credit

Budget 2022

Budget 2022 proposes to introduce a Multigenerational Home Renovation Tax Credit, which would provide up to $7,500 in support for constructing a secondary suite for a senior or an adult with a disability. Starting in 2023, this refundable credit would allow families to claim 15 per cent of up to $50,000 in eligible renovation and construction costs incurred to construct a secondary suite.

  • Completed
  • Included in Bill C-32, which received Royal Assent in December 2022.
  • CRA has begun administering for the 2023 tax year, with refunds delivered upon tax filing in early 2024.

Rental Construction Financing Initiative

Budget 2022

Led by Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation

*Redacted*

*Redacted*

Multi-unit mortgage loan insurance

Led by Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation CMHC offers concessional mortgage loan insurance (MLI) on multi-unit properties through its commercial activities.

  • Completed
  • MLI Select was launched in March 2022, and offers discounted pricing based on affordability, energy efficiency and accessibility.
4. Affordable Housing Supply
Affordable Housing Supply

Co-Operative Housing Development Program

Budget 2022

Led by Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation

*Redacted*

  • Ongoing
*Redacted*

Rapid Housing Initiative

Budget 2022

Led by Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation

*Redacted*

  • Completed
  • Applications launched in November 2022 (cities stream) and December 2022 (projects stream).
*Redacted*

Federal Lands Initiative

Led by the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation

$200 million fund that supports the discounted transfer of surplus federal lands and buildings for development into affordable housing.

  • Completed
  • Program launched in 2019. To date, CMHC has committed $118 million to support the creation of 3,900 units, of which 1,680 will be affordable.

National Housing Co-Investment Fund

Budget 2022

Led by Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation

*Redacted*

  • Ongoing
*Redacted*
5. Rent Support
Rent Support

Canada Housing Benefit

Budget 2022

Led by the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation

Launched in 2018, the $4.3 billion Canada Housing Benefit provides direct rent support, cost-matched and delivered by the PTs.

  • Completed
  • The Canada Housing Benefit has committed $184.6 million in direct rent supports to date.
  • In addition, in Budget 2022, the government announced a one-time top-up to the Canada Housing Benefit. The program, delivered in 2022-23, was delivered by CRA and provided $500 for renters facing affordability challenges.
6. Homelessness
Homelessness

Reaching Home

Budget 2022

Led by Infrastructure Canada

*Redacted*

  • Completed
*Redacted*

Veteran Homelessness Program

Budget 2022

Led by Infrastructure Canada *Redacted*

  • Completed
  • Launched in April, 2023, the Veteran Homelessness Program is now accepting applications. *Redacted*
7. Marginalized Groups
Marginalized Groups

Urban, Rural and Northern Indigenous Housing Strategy

Budget 2022

Led by Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation and Indigenous Services Canada

$300 million over five years for CMHC to co-develop and launch an Urban, Rural and Northern Indigenous Housing Strategy.

Budget 2023 announced $4 billion dollars over seven years, starting in 2024-25, for its implementation.

  • Delayed
  • $281.5 million was repurposed with funding moved from CMHC to ISC in November 2022 (Urban Programming Indigenous Peoples) and the profile was adjusted from five years to two years (2023-24 and 2024-25) to address immediate housing needs for Indigenous peoples in urban, rural and northern communities. *Redacted*  
8. Green/Climate
Green/Climate

Canada Greener Homes Grants 

Led by Natural Resources Canada

The Fall Economic Statement 2020 provided $2.6 billion over 7 years starting 2020-21, to Natural Resources Canada to help homeowners make their homes more energy efficient. Of which $2.16 billion over 5 years, starting in 2020-21, would be to support up to 700,000 grants of up to $5,000 per homeowner for retrofits.

*Redacted*

  • Program launched in June 2022 and as of May 2023, over $280 million grants to over 56,000 homeowners have been issued across Canada.
  • Initial resilience measures (ex. flood proofing, fireproof siding, etc.) in support of the National Adaption Strategy have been added.

*Redacted*

Canada Greener Homes Loans, Including Canada Greener Affordable Housing Stream

Led by Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation

Budget 2021 provided $4.42 billion on a cash basis gross of loan disbursements to CMHC to deliver a home energy retrofit loan program designed for homeowners, called Canada Greener Homes Loans Initiative.

Budget 2022 provided $458.5 million over seven years, starting in 2022-23, to CMHC to provide low-interest loans as part of the low-income stream of the Canada Greener Homes Loan program, called the Canada Greener Affordable Housing Program.

*Redacted*

  • In June 2022, CMHC in collaboration with Natural Resources Canada launched Canada Greener Homes Loans and Grant Initiative (without resiliency measures).
  • Initial resilience measures in support of the National Adaptation Strategy have been added to the loans program.
  • *Redacted*

Greener Homes Affordable Home Loan Stream

  • CMHC has recently launched of the Greener Homes Affordable Home Loan Stream in May 2023.
9. Market Integrity
Market Integrity

Home Buyers' Bill of Rights

Budget 2022

Led by Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation

$5 million over two years, starting in 2022-23, to engage with provinces and territories to jointly develop, and seek their commitment to implement, a Home Buyers' Bill of Rights and bring forward a national plan to end blind bidding.

*Redacted*

Protecting Canadians From Money Laundering in the Mortgage Lending Sector

Budget 2022

To help prevent financial crimes in the real estate sector, Budget 2022 announced the government's intention to extend anti-money laundering and anti-terrorist financing requirements to all businesses conducting mortgage lending in Canada within the next year.

  • On track
  • Regulations to implement these measures were published in Canada Gazette I on February 18, 2023.
  • *Redacted*
  • This package includes measures to implement FINTRAC's cost-recovery regime. *Redacted*
  • The mortgage lending regulations will come into force 12 months after final publication. 
10. Investors in Real Estate
Investors in Real Estate

Making Property Flippers Pay their Fair Share

Budget 2022

Budget 2022 proposed to introduce new rules to ensure profits from flipping residential properties are taxed fully and fairly. Specifically, any person who sells a property they have held for less than 12 months would be considered to be flipping properties and would be subject to full taxation on their profits as business income. Exemptions would apply for Canadians who sell their home due to certain lifecircumstances, such as a death, disability, the birth of a child, a new job, or a divorce.

  • Completed
  • Included in Bill C-32, which received Royal Assent in December 2022.
  • 2022 FES included proposal to extend this measure to assignment sales. This extension was included in Bill C-47, which received Royal Assent in June 2023.
  • Measure (including the extension) took effect for residential properties sold on or after January 1st, 2023.

Underused Housing Tax

To help ensure that Canadian housing is not used as a passive investment, the government implemented a 1% annual tax on the value of non-resident, non-Canadian owned residential property that is considered to be vacant or underused.

  • Completed
  • The Underused Housing Tax Act was included in Bill C-8 and received royal assent on June 9, 2022.
  • The tax came into effect on January 1, 2022 with inaugural returns for the 2022 calendar year due this on April 30, 2023. However, as the filing deadline approached, it became apparent that there was a general lack of awareness of the UHT, confusion about who and what types of properties are subject to the UHT filing requirement and uncertainty about how the tax applies in a variety of complex cases. This led the CRA to announce, on March 27, that it would waive penalties and interest until October 31, 2023, effectively giving owners six extra months to file.

GST/HST on Assignment Sales by Individuals

Budget 2022

Currently, when an individual makes a new home assignment sale, GST/HST may or may not apply depending on the individual's original intention for the property. This results in the uneven application of GST/HST to new homes and creates an opportunity for speculators to be dishonest. Budget 2022 proposes to make all assignment sales of newly constructed or substantially renovated residential housing taxable for GST/HST purposes.

  • Completed
  • Measure included in BIA1-2022, which received royal assent on June 23, 2022. Measure applies to assignment sales entered into on or after May 7, 2022.

Tax Treatment of Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)

Budget 2022

Budget 2022 announced a federal review of housing as an asset class, which would examine a number of options and tools, including potential changes to the tax treatment of large corporate players that invest in residential real estate, with potential early actions to be announced before the end of the year.

  • Ongoing
  • *Redacted*
  • *Redacted*, Budget 2023 indicated that more needs to be done to ensure homes are affordable for Canadians, and that policy changes applicable to all large corporate landlords could be considered to ensure best outcomes on affordability and fair treatment of tenants.

Foreign Buyer Ban

Budget 2022

Led by Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation

Budget 2022 set out the government's intent to implement a ban on foreign investment in Canadian housing for a period of two years.

  • Completed
  • Legislation and regulations implementing the foreign buyer ban came into force on January 1, 2023, and are subject to automatic repeal after two years.
  • CMHC manages basic administration, including information and guidance materials for stakeholders, following the designation of the Minister of Housing as responsible Minister.
  • CMHC completed a process to amend the regulations in Spring 2023 following concerns from stakeholders. The amendments are relieving in nature and expand certain exceptions applicable to non-Canadians.
  • Specifically, the amendments make it easier for non-Canadians with work permits to purchase residential property, add an exception for non-Canadians acquiring property for development purposes, carve-out vacant land from the scope of the ban, and increase the level of control a non-Canadian may have in a corporation purchasing property, among other targeted changes.
11. Home Ownership
Home Ownership

Tax-Free First Home Savings Account

Budget 2022

Budget 2022 proposed to introduce the Tax-Free First Home Savings Account that would give prospective first-time home buyers the ability to contribute up to $40,000 to a new tax-advantaged registered plan. Like an RRSP, contributions would be tax-deductible, and withdrawals to purchase a first home—including investment income—would be non-taxable, like a TFSA.

  • Completed
  • Included in Bill C-32, which received Royal Assent in December 2022.
  • Many financial institutions are offering or will soon be offering the FHSA to their clients.
  • Tax savings realized upon tax filing in early 2024.

Home Buyers' Tax Credit

Budget 2022

Budget 2022 proposes to double the First-Time Home Buyers' Tax Credit amount to $10,000, starting in 2022. The enhanced credit would provide up to $1,500 in direct support to home buyers

  • Completed
  • Included in Bill C-32, which received Royal Assent in December 2022. Tax savings realized upon tax filing in early 2023.

First-Time Home Buyer Incentive

Budget 2022

Budget 2022 extended the program through March 2025 and to consider options to make the program more flexible, including for single-led families.

  • Completed
*Redacted*

Supporting Rent-to-Own Projects

Budget 2022

Led by: Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation

Budget 2022 announced $200 million in dedicated support to develop and scale up rent‑to-own projects under the existing Affordable Housing Innovation Fund

  • Completed
  • In August 2022, CMHC launched dedicated rent-to-own programming under the existing Affordable Housing Innovation Fund. CMHC has completed all Treasury Board processes to access the requisite funding.

*Redacted*

Financial Sector Policy

Briefing note to the deputy minister of finance

Key financial sector policy files – September 2023

(For Information)

Issue

Near Term – Next 4-6 Weeks (Pre-FES)

*Redacted*

Sustainable Finance Taxonomy and the Sustainable Finance Action Council (SFAC)

*Redacted*

Crypto-Assets and Central Bank Digital Currency

*Redacted*

Financial Sector Legislative Review

Financial Sector Security and Integrity

Canada Emergency Business Account

*Redacted*

Fighting Predatory Lending

*Redacted*

Open Banking Framework

*Redacted*

Host Country Agreement for the Bank of International Settlement Hub

Retail Payment Activities Act Regime – Final Regulations

Expanding Membership Eligibility in Payments Canada

*Redacted*  

Consolidation of Canada Mortgage Bonds (CMBs)

*Redacted*

Parliamentary Review of the Proceeds of Crime (Money Laundering) and Terrorist Financing Act

Canadian Financial Crime Agency (CFCA)

Strengthening Support for Ukraine

*Redacted*

Medium Term – 5 Months *Redacted*

Minimum Qualifying Rate (pre-Budget / not Budget related)

*Redacted*

Sustainable Finance: Climate Disclosures and Net Zero Capital Allocation Strategies

*Redacted*

Voluntary Code of Conduct for the Credit and Debit Card Industry in Canada

The Real-Time Rail (RTR)

*Redacted*

Longer Term

Retail Payments Activities Act

*Redacted*

Digital Assets

Financial Services Trade and Relations

FATF Mutual Evaluation

Interagency Coordination

Drafted by: Financial Sector Policy Branch

ADM: Grahame Johnson, *redacted*

Fiscal Policy

Briefing note to the deputy minister of finance

Fiscal Policy Branch – on-boarding

(For Information)

Issue

Background

*Redacted*

Assessment

*Redacted*

*Redacted*

Drafted by: Fiscal Policy Branch Management

ADM: Evelyn Dancey, *redacted*

Attachments (2): Memo to Minister: Near-Final 2022-23 Financial Results; *Redacted*

Annex A

Fiscal Policy Branch

Figure 2
Fiscal Policy Branch
Figure 2: Fiscal Policy Branch
Text version
  • Assistant Deputy Minister
    Evelyn Dancey
    EX-05
    • Admin Team
      AS-04, AS-02, (shared with EPB)
      AS-01
    • DG. Budget and Government Operations Division
      Thomas Larouche
      EX-03
      • Senior Director
        Budget Planning and Analysis
        Melissa O'Keefe
        EX-02
      • Director
        Government Operations
        Laura Swan
        EX-01
    • DG, Fiscal Analysis and Forecasting Division
      Brad Recker
      EX-03
      • Director Expenditure Analysis & Forecasting
        Nick Phillips
        EX-01
      • Director Financial Analysis & Reporting
        Cheryl McMullin
        EX-02
      • Director Revenue Analysis & Forecasting
        Natalia Ward
        EX-01

Annex B

Timelines for the Fall Update/Forecast
Forecast Items Date
Private sector survey closes Tuesday, September 12
First round of fiscal forecast: *redacted* *Redacted*
Briefings with Minister begin on two-pagers *redacted* *Redacted*
Fiscal forecast completed (to DMO) *Redacted*
Final decisions from Minister* *Redacted*
Final decisions from Prime Minister* *Redacted*
Tabling target *Redacted*
* Notional departmental dates

*Redacted*

Briefing note to the minister of finance

Near-final 2022-23 Financial Results

(For Information)

Issue

Assessment

*Redacted* 

Release of the 2022-23 Fiscal Results

Next Fiscal Forecast Update

*Redacted* 

Drafted by: Fiscal Analysis and Forecasting Division

ADM: Evelyn Dancey, (*redacted*)

Annex A – Detailed Discussion of Variances

*Redacted*

International Trade and Finance Branch

Briefing note

International Trade and Finance Branch (ITF) key priorities

(For Information)

Issue

This note provides an overview of the key priorities for the ITF Branch that will require your attention, including upcoming international engagement.

Next 4-6 weeks

I. International engagement (Fall 2023):

*Redacted*

Pre-Planning for Canada's G7 Presidency (2025)

*Redacted*

III. Other priorities:

*Redacted*

Longer-term

*Redacted*

Attachments:

International Trade and Finance presentation

*Redacted*

International Trade & Finance

Patrick Halley
Assistant Deputy Minister

Figure 3
Overview of the Branch
Figure 3: Overview of the Branch
Text version
  • Patrick Halley
    Assitant Deputy Minister
    • Associate Assistant Deputy Minister
      Steven Kuhn
    • Director General
      International Policy & Analysis
      Isabelle Amano
    • Director General
      International Finance & Development
      Julie Trépanier
    • Director General
      International Trade Policy
      Michèle Govier

Our Landscape

International Policy & Analysis

International Finance & Development

International Trade Policy

Key Priorities

Policy & Analysis

  • Monitoring and assessment of major international economic developments
  • Working with likeminded countries on IMF issues, including SDR channeling, and championing the interests of the Caribbean and other small developing states
  • Supporting discussions on economic resilience and economic security
  • Supporting the priorities of G20 and G7 Presidencies
  • Preparations for Canada's G7 Presidency in 2025

Finance & Development

  • Participating in high-level initiatives to reform Multilateral Development Banks (MDBs), with a focus on championing the efficient use of MDB capital
  • Advancing discussions on the long-term trajectory of Canada's International Assistance Envelope, including reforming its governance, planning discipline and objectives / priorities
  • Overseeing the implementation Budget 2023 spending reductions for EDC, CCC and FinDev
  • Facilitate time, orderly, and coordinated debt treatments for countries facing debt distress

Trade Policy

  • Supporting DPM as chair of the Energy Transformation Task Force with the U.S.
  • Coordinating policy development on Border Carbon Adjustments, Global Arrangements for Sustainable Steel and Aluminum
  • Strengthening trade remedy system
  • Co-lead consultations and domestic implementation options for reciprocal procurement
  • Reacting to challenging trade environment (e.g., U. S. and broader protectionism)

Ukraine-Related Work

Policy & Analysis

  • Analyzing economic impacts of Russia's war on Ukraine
  • Working with key partners (incl G7, G20 allies) and IFIs to:
    • counter Russia's false narrative in international for a (G20, IFIs) and *redacted*
    • assess Ukraine's financing needs and provide financial assistance to Ukraine (IMF Administered Account, Ukraine's new IMF program), as well as other affected countries
  • Continued monitoring of the price cap on Russian oil

Finance & Development

*Redacted*

  • Supporting Canada's response via federal and international coordination tables

Trade Policy

  • Implementation of single tariff initiatives (tariff relief for Ukraine, withdrawal of MFN status for Russia and Belarus)
  • Track and support GAC's trade-related sanctions work (e.g., ban on imports of steel and aluminum from Russia)
  • GAC funding requests related to sanctions work

*Redacted*

Office of the Special Representative for the Deputy Minister (Joe Wild)

Briefing note to the deputy minister of finance

Indigenous economic participation in trans mountain

For Information

Issue

Next steps regarding Indigenous economic participation in Trans Mountain, including key upcoming decision points and engagement dates.

Background

*Redacted*

Current Status

*Redacted*

Key Decision Points

*Redacted*

Drafted by: Tiara Bebi, Office of the Special Representative for the Deputy Minister; ADM: Joe Wild, *redacted*

Tax Policy Branch

Briefing note to the deputy minister of finance

Key tax policy files – September 2023

For Information

Issue

Next 4-6 Weeks (Pre-Fall Economic Statement)

*Redacted*

Clean Economy Investment Tax Credits

*Redacted*

OECD/G20 International Tax Reform – Pillar One & DST

Consultation on draft legislative proposals (Summer Release)

Review of the SR&ED Tax Incentive Program

*Redacted*

Sharing Revenues from International Taxation Reform / Digital Services Tax (DST)

*Redacted*

Fuel, Alcohol, Cannabis, Tobacco (FACT) Sales Tax Framework

Longer-Term

Inefficient Fossil Fuel Subsidies (IFFS)

Automatic Tax Filing

Measures Included in the 2023 Summer Release of Draft Legislative Proposals

Draft legislative proposals were released on August 4, 2023 for public consultation on tax measures announced by the Government in Budget 2023 or earlier. Stakeholders have been invited to provide submissions on these measures through September 8, 2023 (except that the consultation on the Global Minimum Tax (Pillar Two) closes on September 29, 2023).

The following draft measures were included in this release:

Summary of Clean Economy Investment Tax Credits
Measure Eligibility and Conditions In Force
Clean Electricity: Refundable 15% ITC
  • Taxable and tax-exempt entities (such as Crown corporations and publicly owned utilities, Indigenous community-owned businesses, and pension funds) would both be eligible.
    • Non-emitting electricity generation systems: wind, concentrated solar, solar photovoltaic, hydro (including large-scale), wave, tidal, nuclear (including large-scale and small modular reactors);
    • Abated natural gas-fired electricity generation (which would be subject to an emissions intensity threshold compatible with a net-zero grid by 2035);
    • Stationary electricity storage systems that do not use fossil fuels in operation, such as batteries, pumped hydroelectric storage, advanced compressed air storage; and,
    • Equipment for the transmission of electricity between provinces and territories. 
  • Labour requirements must be met to receive the 15 per cent rate. If not, reduced to 5 per cent.
  • New projects and the refurbishment of existing facilities. Projects must have begun construction after Budget Day 2023.
  • For PTs, need a commitment that federal funding will be used to lower electricity prices for Canadians and a commitment to achieve a net-zero electricity sector by 2035. 
*Redacted*

Budget Day 2024

(Not available after 2034)

Clean Hydrogen: Refundable 15-40% ITC
  • CI tiers, thresholds, and credit rates for clean hydrogen investments:
    • 40 per cent for a project CI of less than 0.75 kg;
    • 25 per cent for a project CI greater than or equal to 0.75 kg, but less than 2 kg;
    • 15 per cent for a project CI greater than or equal to 2 kg, but less than 4 kg.
  • Available for the equipment required to produce hydrogen from electrolysis (including green hydrogen), and to produce hydrogen from natural gas with CCUS (so long as this equipment is not already covered by the CCUS-ITC).
  • 15-per-cent credit also available for clean ammonia production equipment, provided that ammonia is produced from clean hydrogen and is being used to transport the hydrogen.
  • Labour requirements must be met to receive full rate. If not, reduced by ten percentage points.

Budget Day 2023

(phase-out starts in 2034, not available after 2034)

Clean Technology Manufacturing: Refundable 30% ITC
  • Available for extracting, processing, recycling of critical minerals: lithium, cobalt, nickel, graphite, copper, and rare earth elements;
    • manufacturing of:
    • certain renewable energy equipment (solar, wind, water, or geothermal);
    • nuclear energy equipment, nuclear fuel rods and processing or recycling of nuclear fuels and heavy water
    • electrical energy storage equipment used to provide grid-scale storage or ancillary services
    • equipment for air- and ground-source heat pump systems
    • zero-emission vehicles and conversions, batteries, fuel cells, recharging systems, and hydrogen refuelling stations
    • equipment used to produce hydrogen from electrolysis;
    • certain upstream components and materials for the above activities, such as cathode materials and batteries used for electric vehicle batteries.

January 1, 2024

(Phase-out starts in 2032, not available after 2034)

Clean Technology: Refundable 30% ITC
  • FES 2022 announced a 30 per cent tax credit for certain clean electricity generation (wind, solar, and water energy; small modular reactors), stationary electricity storage (batteries, pumped hydroelectric storage, advanced compressed air storage), low-carbon heating (heat pumps, active solar heating), and non-road zero-emission vehicles and related recharging/refuelling infrastructure.
  • Labour requirement must be met to receive full rate. If not, reduced by ten percentage points.

Budget Day 2023

(rate reduced to 15% in 2034, not available after 2034)

  • Budget 2023 proposes that geothermal energy systems also be made eligible (excludes projects that co-produce oil, gas, or other fossil fuels).
  • Modifies phase-out to be a 50% reduction in credit rates in 2034, and no longer available after 2034.
Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage: Refundable 60%, 50%, or 37.5% ITC
  • Budget 2022 announced a 60 per cent credit rate for direct air capture, 50 per cent for other capture equipment, and 37.5 per cent for transportation, storage and use.
  • Available to the extent projects use captured CO2 for dedicated geological storage or storage in concrete (but not enhanced oil recovery), subject to a potential ITC recovery.

January 1, 2022

(rates reduced by half after 2030, not available after 2040)

  • Budget 2023 enhances the CCUS ITC by adding dual use heat and/or power equipment and water use equipment, adds BC as an eligible jurisdiction (in addition to SK and AB), requires storage in concrete to be validated by a third-party based on ISO standard, and includes a recovery calculation for refurbishment costs.
  • Labour requirements must be met to receive full rate. If not, reduced by ten percentage points.
Labour Requirements Related to Certain ITCs
  • Two separate requirements; both must be satisfied to receive higher tax credit rate.
    • Prevailing wage requirement: All covered workers must be compensated at a level that meets or exceeds the relevant wage, plus the value of benefits and pension contributions, as specified in an "eligible collective agreement".
    • Outside of Quebec, eligible collective agreements are essentially those negotiated by unions affiliated through Canadian Building Trade Unions (CBTU). In Quebec, eligible agreements would be those negotiated in accordance with provincial law.
    • Apprenticeship requirement: Not less than 10 per cent of the total labour hours performed by covered workers must be performed by registered apprentices.
  • Corrections and penalties mechanism allow businesses to correct non-compliance without losing the higher tax credit rate.
  • In the case of gross negligence, businesses are denied the higher tax credit rate and must pay a penalty equal to 50 per cent of the difference between the amount of tax credit claimed and the amount they would have been entitled to claim under the reduced rate.
October 1, 2023

Implementation Status of Clean Economy Investment Tax Credits

Implementation Status of Clean Economy Investment Tax Credits
ITC Next Steps
CCUS ITC (CIF: January 1, 2022)
  • Draft legislation released for consultation (comments due September 8).
  • *Redacted*
  • Table legislation in Parliament (which would include any changes resulting from the consultation) in the fall *redacted*.
Clean Technology ITC (CIF: March 28, 2023)
  • Draft legislation released for consultation (comments due September 8).
  • *Redacted*
  • Table legislation in Parliament (which would include any changes resulting from the consultation) in the fall *redacted*.
Labour requirements associated with Clean Technology, Clean Hydrogen, Clean Electricity, and CCUS ITCs (CIF: October 1, 2023)
  • Draft legislation for labour requirements associated with the CCUS and Clean Technology ITCs released for consultation (comments due September 8).
  • Table legislation in Parliament (which would include any changes resulting from the consultation) in the fall *redacted*.
Clean Hydrogen ITC (CIF: March 28, 2023)
  • *Redacted*.  ECCC planning to publish proposed update to the carbon intensity of natural gas on September 8, *redacted*.
Clean Technology Manufacturing ITC (CIF: January 1, 2024) *Redacted*
Clean Electricity ITC (CIF: Budget Day 2024) *Redacted*

CIF = Coming into force.

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2024-01-09