Modernizing Canada’s Budgeting Approach

Backgrounder

A New Approach to Budgeting

The government is adopting a new way of budgeting that will make capital investment a national priority. The cornerstone of this new budgeting approach is a Capital Budgeting Framework that distinguishes day-to-day operational spending from expenditure that stimulates public and private sector capital investment.

The framework will be applied to the federal budget, while preserving comparability across different fiscal publications. It is designed to enhance—not replace—existing financial reporting. The Public Accounts of Canada will remain fully compliant with Public Sector Accounting Standards, which permit capitalization of costs for assets under government control.

Going forward, the government will also transition to a fall budgeting cycle, starting with Budget 2025. The fall timing, before the Main Estimates, will improve transparency and facilitate the oversight of public expenditure for Parliamentarians. It will also support effective financial planning for federal departments and agencies, provinces and territories, investors, and businesses. Organizations that rely on federal funding to deliver programs and services to Canadians will also have clarity on available funding ahead of the fiscal year and ahead of the construction season, ensuring projects can get underway without delay. The fall budget will be complemented by an economic and fiscal update in the spring.

The importance of capital formation

Capital investments are the building blocks to economic growth. By improving Canada’s productivity, capital investment fosters more—and better paying—jobs, supporting rising living standards over the long-term. However, U.S. business investment has increased steadily, Canada’s has struggled, remaining close to its 2015 level (Chart 1). Further, while many countries have accelerated investment in intellectual property, advanced technologies, and modern manufacturing to strengthen their economic potential, Canada’s investment has been significantly less concentrated in these types of forward-looking productivity enhancing investments (Chart 2). This lag in investment has constrained innovation, created risks to Canada’s competitiveness, and has left the economy less resilient. This investment gap poses a growing challenge in a global economy increasingly shaped by shifting trade dynamics and rapid adoption of artificial intelligence. Without a step-change in capital investment, Canada risks falling further behind. Addressing this requires renewed commitment from both the public and private sectors to make capital investments a national priority.

Chart 1
Real non-residential business investment since 2000, Canada and U.S, 2000Q1-2025Q2
Chart 1: Real non-residential business investment since 2000, Canada and U.S, 2000Q1-2025Q2

Source: Statistics Canada and Bureau of Economic Analysis. Department of Finance Canada calculations

Text version
Canada U.S.
2000 100 100
2000 101.0594 103.1201
2000 101.0481 104.2466
2000 100.7416 104.6389
2001 102.656 103.7023
2001 103.6332 101.5569
2001 103.9564 100.3544
2001 96.18151 97.46851
2002 94.49655 95.13322
2002 95.80285 94.06367
2002 97.54544 93.75356
2002 97.17034 92.49415
2003 98.85601 92.94981
2003 100.7901 95.51927
2003 104.0065 97.54446
2003 107.0691 98.77223
2004 109.284 97.79761
2004 110.8844 100.2405
2004 113.0164 103.1074
2004 114.7041 105.2275
2005 119.1086 106.7527
2005 121.6828 108.4805
2005 126.9202 110.7398
2005 130.9291 111.5942
2006 132.7301 115.3408
2006 135.4262 117.3533
2006 137.1755 119.3659
2006 137.8126 120.6316
2007 137.5547 122.8024
2007 138.3229 125.53
2007 139.0412 127.4983
2007 141.6719 129.4665
2008 146.656 129.9791
2008 146.8872 130.2449
2008 146.3983 127.8147
2008 139.0446 120.3658
2009 118.4528 111.2968
2009 113.661 107.9109
2009 114.5834 107.2843
2009 117.7465 108.0058
2010 123.9871 108.7716
2010 129.8003 112.3536
2010 134.2139 115.4167
2010 139.7686 117.6761
2011 142.4573 117.5432
2011 146.7371 120.6063
2011 147.9207 126.2831
2011 151.5213 129.5234
2012 154.6123 132.8587
2012 157.4747 135.8585
2012 158.0678 135.4092
2012 160.7102 136.8837
2013 163.5395 138.9975
2013 164.4128 139.7127
2013 165.4586 142.2821
2013 167.5178 145.6996
2014 169.4263 148.0539
2014 170.4512 152.2942
2014 172.3856 155.5914
2014 176.027 156.9458
2015 161.2937 157.0217
2015 154.1772 158.1166
2015 148.7893 159.0785
2015 145.8549 158.3761
2016 138.4338 158.509
2016 136.7409 159.857
2016 137.8108 162.2682
2016 131.7597 163.5719
2017 137.0783 165.2047
2017 139.3307 167.0654
2017 140.4377 168.6729
2017 144.4178 172.7043
2018 146.7612 177.5394
2018 149.0778 179.5519
2018 146.0752 180.6595
2018 146.4854 182.2923
2019 153.5764 183.52
2019 150.1521 187.0135
2019 153.2062 188.8172
2019 150.6165 187.9818
2020 149.852 184.4124
2020 124.5482 169.5842
2020 133.5985 177.0015
2020 137.5436 181.7353
2021 140.5722 185.9313
2021 148.5407 189.95
2021 148.614 189.1146
2021 152.2717 190.7031
2022 154.3359 196.8673
2022 158.8895 200.3607
2022 160.0776 204.1073
2022 158.4254 206.9489
2023 160.9545 209.6576
2023 165.514 214.6446
2023 159.8204 215.2332
2023 155.5381 217.2584
2024 155.4099 219.6696
2024 159.7615 221.7644
2024 156.3847 223.9605
2024 158.1283 222.2897
2025 158.3469 227.8274
2026 155.0682 231.0044
Chart 2
Non-residential investment as a share of GDP, Canada and U.S., 2023
Chart 2: Non-residential investment as a share of GDP, Canada and U.S., 2023

Source: OECD. Department of Finance Canada calculations.

Text version
Total Buildings and structures Machinery and equipment Intellectual property products
Canada 14.9 7.8 3.8 3.3
U.S. 17.4 4.8 5.9 6.8

Capital Budgeting Framework

The new Capital Budgeting Framework establishes a consistent way to classify spending, including tax expenditures, that contribute to capital formation—referred to here as capital investment—while maintaining pre-existing categories used in budgets and financial reports. Drawing on best practices from other advanced economies, and adapted to the Canadian context, it sets out clear, standardized criteria to assess whether a given measure qualifies as capital investment.
Under this framework, capital investment is defined broadly as any government expense or tax expenditure that contributes to public or private sector capital formation, held directly on the government’s balance sheet or on that of a private sector entity, Indigenous community or another level of government. Within this broad definition, the intent is to focus on capital investments that meet the following criteria:

  • Conditionality – whether the funding recipient is required to invest in capital formation to receive the benefit.
  • Clear linkage – whether the spending encourages or enables capital investment in identifiable sectors or projects.

Spending that is not categorised as capital investment would be considered day-to-day operating spending. This would include major government expenditures like transfers to persons, health and social transfers, and the costs of running government operations and services, including salaries and benefits.
Applying the above criteria, federal government spending classified as capital investment would generally be categorized as follows:

  • Capital transfers - transfers to other levels of government and organisations that are expressly intended for the recipient to invest in infrastructure or a productive asset.
  • Capital-focused corporate income tax incentives - tax expenditures intended to incentivise new capital formation.
  • Amortisation of federal capital - expenses recorded to spread the cost of capital assets owned or controlled by the federal government over their useful lives.
  • Private sector research and development - direct funding, or tax incentives, for research and development activities that enable commercialisation or scale-up and raise future productive capacity.
  • Support to unlock large-scale private sector capital investment - contractual agreements with proponents involving exceptional, significant operating subsidies designed to unlock incremental large-scale private capital investments.
  • Measures to grow the housing stock - measures that accelerate new housing supply.

Further details will be released in Budget 2025, enabling Canadians to better understand how fiscal choices support future economic capacity.

Public Accounts

As a responsible fiscal manager, the government remains committed to ensuring the objectivity and integrity of its financial statements, which are presented in the Public Accounts of Canada. Results in this form will continue to be based on Canadian public sector accounting standards.

The lens of the new Capital Budgeting Framework will be applied to the federal budget, while preserving the ability for users to compare information across different financial publications, including the Public Accounts of Canada. The budget will continue to include tables categorizing planned spending according to Public Accounts concepts, in order to maintain the ability to compare budgeted amounts with results.

Fall Budgeting Cycle

The transition to a fall budgeting cycle will begin with Budget 2025, and will have the following implications:

  • Pre-budget consultations will now take place in summer.
  • The budget will be delivered in the fall, ahead of the Main Estimates.
  • The budget will be the government’s main fiscal event, followed by a spring economic and fiscal update as the new fiscal year begins.

Having a budget in the fall—well ahead of the new fiscal year—will mean:

  • Greater predictability and better planning for organizations, businesses, investors, provincial and territorial budget planners, and Canadians.
  • More budget measures can be included in time for the Main Estimates, enabling parliamentarians to better oversee public expenditures. This responds to calls by the House of Commons Standing Committee on Government Operations and Estimates (OGGO) and the Parliamentary Budget Officer (PBO) for greater alignment between the budget and Main Estimates, which must be tabled in Parliament by March 1st every year.
  • Align better to construction season, ensuring projects can get underway without delay. In the old cycle, budgets didn’t allow projects to take full advantage of the construction season. A fall budget cycle changes that – giving builders and investors a real head start.

The government remains committed to consulting on the implementation of budget measures, including tax and legislation.

Implementation  

  • The release of Budget 2025 on November 4, 2025, will mark a shift to a fall budgeting cycle.
  • Budget 2025 will present and apply the government’s new Capital Budgeting Framework.

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2025-10-06