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Highlights

July 2019

There was a budgetary deficit of $1.5 billion in July 2019, compared to a surplus of $0.1 billion in July 2018. Revenues increased by $1.0 billion, or 3.6 per cent, primarily reflecting increases in tax revenues and other revenues. Program expenses increased by $2.2 billion, or 8.9 per cent, reflecting increases in major transfers to persons, major transfers to other levels of government and direct program expenses. Public debt charges increased by $0.4 billion, or 19.1 per cent, largely reflecting higher Consumer Price Index adjustments on Real Return Bonds.

Monthly budgetary balance

Monthly budgetary balance

April to July 2019

For the April to July period of the 2019–20 fiscal year, the Government posted a budgetary deficit of $1.6 billion, compared to a surplus of $4.4 billion reported for the same period of 2018–19. Revenues were up $4.2 billion, or 3.9 per cent, largely reflecting increases in tax revenues and other revenues. Program expenses were up $9.1 billion, or 9.5 per cent, primarily reflecting increases in major transfers to other levels of government, including $1.9 billion in transfers under the new Hibernia Dividend Backed Annuity Agreement, and direct program expenses. Public debt charges increased by $1.1 billion, or 13.3 per cent, due mainly to higher Consumer Price Index adjustments on Real Return Bonds.

Year-to-date budgetary balance

Year-to-date budgetary balance
1 Sources: Annual Financial Report of the Government of Canada—2018–2019; Budget 2019.

Table 1
Summary statement of transactions
($ millions)
July April - July
2018
Restated1
2019 2018–19
Restated1
2019–20
Budgetary transactions        
  Revenues 26,888 27,845 108,044 112,219
  Expenses        
    Program expenses2 -24,849 -27,055 -95,510 -104,604
    Public debt charges -1,897 -2,260 -8,097 -9,172
  Budgetary balance (deficit/surplus) 142 -1,470 4,437 -1,557
Non-budgetary transactions 773 -3,072 -10,417 -12,811
Financial source/requirement 915 -4,542 -5,980 -14,368
Net change in financing activities 6,845 11,502 12,753 17,888
Net change in cash balances 7,760 6,960 6,773 3,520
Cash balance at end of period     44,450 43,524
Note: Positive numbers indicate net source of funds. Negative numbers indicate net requirement for funds.
1 Certain comparative figures have been restated to reflect changes in accounting policy. See Note 8 at the end of this document for further details.
2 Year-to-date results for 2019-20 have been adjusted by $371 million to reflect a correction to the amount originally reported for June 2019.

Revenues

Revenues in July 2019 totalled $27.8 billion, up $1.0 billion, or 3.6 per cent, from July 2018.

  • Tax revenues increased by $0.3 billion, or 1.4 per cent.
  • Fuel charge proceeds under the new federal carbon pollution pricing system totalled $0.2 billion.
  • Employment Insurance (EI) premium revenues increased by $0.1 billion, or 2.9 per cent.
  • Other revenues, consisting of net profits from enterprise Crown corporations, revenues of consolidated Crown corporations, revenues from sales of goods and services, returns on investments, net foreign exchange revenues and miscellaneous revenues, were up $0.4 billion, or 17.9 per cent.

For the April to July period of 2019–20, revenues were $112.2 billion, up $4.2 billion, or 3.9 per cent, from the same period the previous year.

  • Tax revenues increased by $3.0 billion, or 3.3 per cent, driven largely by growth in personal income tax revenues.
  • Fuel charge proceeds totalled $0.3 billion over the period.
  • EI premium revenues were up $0.1 billion, or 1.2 per cent. 
  • Other revenues were up $0.8 billion, or 8.6 per cent.
Table 2
Revenues
July   April - July  
2018
Restated1
2019 Change 2018–19
Restated1
2019–20 Change
($ millions) (%) ($ millions) (%)
Tax revenues            
  Income taxes            
    Personal 12,433 11,987 -3.6 50,176 52,626 4.9
    Corporate 3,448 4,623 34.1 17,090 17,700 3.6
    Non-resident 934 797 -14.7 2,997 2,925 -2.4
 

    Total income tax revenues 16,815 17,407 3.5 70,263 73,251 4.3
  Other taxes and duties            
    Goods and Services Tax 4,359 4,146 -4.9 14,492 14,326 -1.1
    Energy taxes 513 493 -3.9 1,833 1,864 1.7
    Customs import duties 620 467 -24.7 1,934 1,925 -0.5
    Other excise taxes and duties 554 673 21.5 2,102 2,248 6.9
 

    Total other taxes and duties 6,046 5,779 -4.4 20,361 20,363 0.0
 

  Total tax revenues 22,861 23,186 1.4 90,624 93,614 3.3
Fuel charge proceeds 0 165 n/a 0 302 n/a
Employment Insurance premiums 1,703 1,753 2.9 8,329 8,433 1.2
Other revenues 2,324 2,741 17.9 9,091 9,870 8.6
 

Total revenues 26,888 27,845 3.6 108,044 112,219 3.9
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.
1 Certain comparative figures have been restated to reflect a change in accounting policy. See Note 8 at the end of this document for further details.

Expenses

Program expenses in July 2019 were $27.1 billion, up $2.2 billion, or 8.9 per cent, from July 2018.

  • Major transfers to persons, consisting of elderly, EI and children’s benefits, were up $0.2 billion, or 2.5 per cent. Elderly benefits increased by $0.2 billion, or 4.3 per cent, reflecting growth in the elderly population and changes in consumer prices, to which benefits are fully indexed. EI benefits decreased by $41 million, or 2.5 per cent. Children’s benefits were up $49 million, or 2.6 per cent.
  • Major transfers to other levels of government were up $0.3 billion, or 3.7 per cent, largely reflecting legislated growth in the Canada Health Transfer, the Canada Social Transfer and Equalization transfers.  
  • Direct program expenses were up $1.7 billion, or 17.6 per cent. Within direct program expenses:
    • Fuel charge proceeds returned reflects $36 million in payments under the federal carbon pollution pricing system.
    • Other transfer payments increased by $0.6 billion, or 20.6 per cent, reflecting increases across a number of departments.
    • Other direct program expenses, consisting of operating expenses of the Government’s departments, agencies, and consolidated Crown corporations and other entities, increased by $1.1 billion, or 15.9 per cent, reflecting in part an increase in personnel costs.

Public debt charges were up $0.4 billion, or 19.1 per cent, largely reflecting higher Consumer Price Index adjustments on Real Return Bonds.  

For the April to July period of 2019–20, program expenses were $104.6 billion, up $9.1 billion, or 9.5 per cent, from the same period the previous year.

  • Major transfers to persons were up $0.7 billion, or 2.3 per cent. Elderly benefits increased by $0.8 billion, or 4.8 per cent, reflecting growth in the elderly population and changes in consumer prices. EI benefits decreased by $0.1 billion, or 2.2 per cent. Children’s benefits were up $34 million, or 0.4 per cent.
  • Major transfers to other levels of government were up $3.5 billion, or 14.0 per cent, primarily reflecting legislated growth in the Canada Health Transfer, the Canada Social Transfer, Equalization transfers and transfers to the territories; an increase in payments under home care and mental health transfers; and, $1.9 billion in transfers under the new Hibernia Dividend Backed Annuity Agreement reached on April 1, 2019 between Canada and Newfoundland and Labrador.
  • Direct program expenses were up $4.9 billion, or 12.5 per cent. Within direct program expenses:
    • Fuel charge proceeds returned totalled $1.2 billion.
    • Other transfer payments increased by $1.3 billion, or 11.8 per cent, reflecting increases across a number of departments.
    • Other direct program expenses increased by $2.3 billion, or 8.3 per cent, reflecting in part an increase in personnel costs.

Public debt charges increased by $1.1 billion, or 13.3 per cent, largely reflecting higher Consumer Price Index adjustments on Real Return Bonds.

Table 3
Expenses
July   April - July
2018
Restated1
2019 Change 2018–19
Restated1
2019–20 Change
  ($ millions) (%) ($ millions) (%)
Major transfers to persons            
  Elderly benefits2 4,452 4,642 4.3 17,476 18,309 4.8
  Employment Insurance benefits 1,655 1,614 -2.5 6,028 5,896 -2.2
  Children’s benefits 1,886 1,935 2.6 7,996 8,030 0.4
 

  Total 7,993 8,191 2.5 31,500 32,235 2.3
Major transfers to other levels of government            
  Canada Health Transfer 3,215 3,364 4.6 12,861 13,458 4.6
  Canada Social Transfer 1,180 1,215 3.0 4,720 4,862 3.0
  Equalization 1,580 1,656 4.8 6,319 6,615 4.7
  Territorial Formula Financing 257 268 4.3 1,726 1,800 4.3
  Gas Tax Fund 1,085 1,084 -0.1 1,085 1,084 -0.1
  Home care and mental health 0 0 n/a 17 550 3,135.3
  Other fiscal arrangements3 -397 -408 -2.8 -1,645 221 n/a
 

  Total 6,920 7,179 3.7 25,083 28,590 14.0
Direct program expenses            
  Fuel charge proceeds returned 0 36 n/a 0 1,222 n/a
  Other transfer payments 2,827 3,409 20.6 11,312 12,642 11.8
  Other direct program expenses 7,109 8,240 15.9 27,615 29,915 8.3
 

  Total direct program expenses 9,936 11,685 17.6 38,927 43,779 12.5
 

Total program expenses 24,849 27,055 8.9 95,510 104,604 9.5
Public debt charges 1,897 2,260 19.1 8,097 9,172 13.3
 

Total expenses 26,746 29,315 9.6 103,607 113,776 9.8
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.
1 Certain comparative figures have been restated to reflect changes in accounting policy. See Note 8 at the end of this document for further details.
2 Year-to-date results for 2019-20 have been reduced by $371 million to reflect a correction to the amount originally reported for June 2019.
3 Other fiscal arrangements include the Youth Allowances Recovery and Alternative Payments for Standing Programs, which represent a recovery from Quebec of a tax point transfer; statutory subsidies; payments under the 2005 Offshore Accords; payments to provinces in respect of common securities regulation; transfers under the new Hibernia Dividend Backed Annuity Agreement with Newfoundland and Labrador; and, other items.

The following table presents total expenses by main object of expense.

Table 4
Total expenses by object of expense
  July   April - July  
  2018
Restated1
2019 Change 2018-19
Restated1
2019-20 Change
($ millions) (%) ($ millions) (%)
Transfer payments2 17,740 18,815 6.1 67,895 74,689 10.0
Other expenses
  Personnel 4,424 4,876 10.2 17,517 18,677 6.6
  Transportation and communications 267 278 4.1 808 806 -0.2
  Information 15 36 140.0 55 90 63.6
  Professional and special services 905 991 9.5 2,589 2,877 11.1
  Rentals 273 288 5.5 1,055 1,094 3.7
  Repair and maintenance 237 284 19.8 649 780 20.2
  Utilities, materials and supplies 187 218 16.6 697 746 7.0
  Other subsidies and expenses 391 811 107.4 2,605 3,085 18.4
  Amortization of tangible capital assets 398 427 7.3 1,594 1,708 7.2
  Net loss on disposal of assets 12 31 158.3 46 52 13.0
 

  Total other expenses 7,109 8,240 15.9 27,615 29,915 8.3
 

Total program expenses 24,849 27,055 8.9 95,510 104,604 9.5
Public debt charges 1,897 2,260 19.1 8,097 9,172 13.3
 

Total expenses 26,746 29,315 9.6 103,607 113,776 9.8
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.
1 Certain comparative figures have been restated to reflect changes in accounting policy. See Note 8 at the end of this document for further details.
2 Year-to-date results for 2019-20 have been reduced by $371 million to reflect a correction to the amount originally reported for June 2019.

Revenues and expenses (April to July 2019)

Year-to-date budgetary balance
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.

Financial requirement of $14.4 billion for April to July 2019

The budgetary balance is presented on an accrual basis of accounting, recording government revenues and expenses when they are earned or incurred, regardless of when the cash is received or paid. In contrast, the financial source/requirement measures the difference between cash coming in to the Government and cash going out. This measure is affected not only by changes in the budgetary balance but also by the cash source/requirement resulting from the Government’s investing activities through its acquisition of capital assets and its loans, financial investments and advances, as well as from other activities, including payment of accounts payable and collection of accounts receivable, foreign exchange activities, and the amortization of its tangible capital assets. The difference between the budgetary balance and financial source/requirement is recorded in non-budgetary transactions.

With a budgetary deficit of $1.6 billion and a requirement of $12.8 billion from non-budgetary transactions, there was a financial requirement of $14.4 billion for the April to July 2019 period, compared to a financial requirement of $6.0 billion for the same period the previous year.

Table 5
The budgetary balance and financial source/requirement
($ millions)
July April - July
2018
Restated1
2019 2018–19
Restated1
2019–20
Budgetary balance (deficit/surplus)2 142 -1,470 4,437 -1,557
Non-budgetary transactions        
  Accounts payable, accrued liabilities and
   accounts receivable
-838 -3,108 -10,984 -11,823
  Pensions, other future benefits, and other liabilities 792 619 2,240 2,534
  Foreign exchange accounts 697 377 381 -122
  Loans, investments and advances 355 -758 -2,032 -3,443
  Non-financial assets -233 -202 -22 43
  Total non-budgetary transactions 773 -3,072 -10,417 -12,811
Financial source/requirement 915 -4,542 -5,980 -14,368
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.
1 Certain comparative figures have been restated to reflect a change in accounting policy. See Note 8 at the end of this document for further details.
2 Year-to-date results for 2019-20 have been adjusted by $371 million to reflect a correction to the amount originally reported for June 2019.

Net financing activities up $17.9 billion

The Government financed this financial requirement of $14.4 billion and increased cash balances by $3.5 billion by increasing unmatured debt by $17.9 billion. The increase in unmatured debt was achieved primarily through the issuance of marketable bonds and treasury bills.

The level of cash balances varies from month to month based on a number of factors including periodic large debt maturities, which can be quite volatile on a monthly basis. Cash balances at the end of July 2019 stood at $43.5 billion, down $0.9 billion from their level at the end of July 2018.

Table 6
Financial source/requirement and net financing activities
($ millions)
July April - July
2018 2019 2018–19 2019–20
Financial source/requirement 915 -4,542 -5,980 -14,368
Net increase (+)/decrease (-) in financing activities        
  Unmatured debt transactions        
    Canadian currency borrowings        
      Marketable bonds 7,872 7,977 5,762 16,235
      Treasury bills 400 4,000 9,000 4,600
      Retail debt -32 -13 -146 -80
      Total 8,240 11,964 14,616 20,755
    Foreign currency borrowings -444 361 79 -276
    Total 7,796 12,325 14,695 20,479
    Cross-currency swap revaluation -925 -203 -1,292 -1,915
    Unamortized discounts and premiums on market debt -9 51 -529 106
    Obligations related to capital leases and other unmatured debt -17 -671 -121 -782
  Net change in financing activities 6,845 11,502 12,753 17,888
Change in cash balance 7,760 6,960 6,773 3,520
Cash balance at end of period     44,450 43,524
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.

Notes

  1. The Fiscal Monitor is a report on the consolidated financial results of the Government of Canada, prepared monthly by the Department of Finance Canada. The Government is committed to releasing The Fiscal Monitor on a timely basis in accordance with the International Monetary Fund’s Special Data Dissemination Standard Plus, which is designed to promote member countries’ data transparency and promote the development of sound statistical systems.
  2. The financial results reported in The Fiscal Monitor are drawn from the accounts of Canada, which are maintained by the Receiver General and used to prepare the annual Public Accounts of Canada.
  3. The Fiscal Monitor is generally prepared in accordance with the same accounting policies as used to prepare the Government’s annual consolidated financial statements, which are summarized in Section 2 of Volume I of the Public Accounts of Canada, available through the Public Services and Procurement Canada website.      
  4. The financial results presented in The Fiscal Monitor have not been audited or reviewed by an external auditor.
  5. There can be substantial volatility in monthly results due to the timing of revenue receipts and expense recognition. For instance, a large share of government spending is typically reported in the March Fiscal Monitor.
  6. The April to March results reported in The Fiscal Monitor are not the final results for the fiscal year as a whole. The final results are published in the annual Public Accounts of Canada and incorporate post-March end-of-year adjustments made once further information becomes available, including the accrual of tax revenues reflecting assessments of tax returns and valuation adjustments for assets and liabilities. Post-March adjustments may also include the accrual of measures announced in the budget that are recorded upon receipt of Royal Assent of enabling legislation.
  7. A Condensed Statement of Assets and Liabilities is included in the monthly Fiscal Monitor following the finalization and publication of the Government’s financial results for the preceding fiscal year, typically in the fall.
  8. Accounting Changes and Restatement

    The monthly financial results for 2018–19 presented for comparative purposes in The Fiscal Monitor have been restated to reflect the following two changes in accounting policy.

    Change in Discount Rate Methodology

    In finalizing its 2017–18 annual financial results, the Government implemented a change in the discount rate methodology used in valuing unfunded pension obligations. This change resulted in an $11 million increase in the budgetary surplus as of July 31, 2018. Further details regarding this accounting policy change can be found in Note 3 to the condensed consolidated financial statements in the Annual Financial Report of the Government of Canada—2017–2018, available on the Department of Finance Canada website.

    Canadian Commercial Corporation

    During 2018–19, the Canadian Commercial Corporation determined that it acts as an agent in its commercial trading transactions. As a result, the revenues and expenses and related asset and liability balances arising from these transactions are no longer consolidated in the Government's financial results. This accounting change has no net impact on the budgetary balance, as the decrease in the Government's revenues is offset by an equal reduction in expenses. Similarly, this change has no net impact on the federal debt, as the decrease in the Government's assets is offset by an equal reduction in its liabilities.

    The following table provides an overview of these restatements of the 2018–19 financial results.
Table 7
Summary of Restatements
($ millions)
Program expenses Public debt charges Other revenues Budgetary balance (deficit/surplus) Non-budgetary transactions
July 2018          
As previously reported -24,878 -2,094 2,548 140 775
Effect of change in accounting policy
  Change in discount rate methodology -195 197 n/a 2 -2
  Canadian Commercial Corporation 224 n/a -224 0 n/a
As restated -24,849 -1,897 2,324 142 773
April to July 2018          
As previously reported -95,566 -8,894 9,933 4,426 -10,406
Effect of change in accounting policy
  Change in discount rate methodology -786 797 n/a 11 -11
  Canadian Commercial Corporation 842 n/a -842 0 n/a
As restated -95,510 -8,097 9,091 4,437 -10,417
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.

Note: Unless otherwise noted, changes in financial results are presented on a year-over-year basis.

For inquiries about this publication, contact Bradley Recker at 613-369-5667.

September 2019

© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada (2019)

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