2019 Employment Insurance premium rate

Pursuant to section 66.31 of the Employment Insurance Act, the Canada Employment Insurance Commission (the Commission) is pleased to present the following summary of the Actuarial Report on the 2019 Employment Insurance (EI) Premium Rate.

The Canada Employment Insurance Commission

The Canada Employment Insurance Commission (the Commission), a departmental corporation named in Schedule II to the Financial Administration Act, administers the Employment Insurance Act (the Act). The objective of the Act is to provide employment insurance benefits and employment programs and services to eligible workers. The financial transactions relating to this objective are reported through the Employment Insurance Operating Account (the Account).

The Commission is a tripartite organization that has been overseeing the EI program for over 75 years. The Commission has four members, three of whom are voting members representing the interests of workers, employers, and government. The Commissioner for Workers and the Commissioner for Employers are appointed by the Governor in Council following consultation with their respective stakeholders. They are mandated to represent and reflect the views of their respective constituencies. The Deputy Minister of the Department of Employment and Social Development Canada (ESDC), representing government, acts as the Chairperson, while the Senior Associate Deputy Minister of the Department of ESDC and Chief Operating Officer for Service Canada acts as the Vice-Chairperson and has voting privileges only when acting on behalf of the Chairperson.

The EI Operating Account was established in the accounts of Canada by the Act. All amounts received under the Act are deposited in the Consolidated Revenue Fund and credited to the Account. The benefits and the costs of administration of the Act are paid out of the Consolidated Revenue Fund and charged to the Account. In the financial statements, the Consolidated Revenue Fund is represented by the Balance of the account with Receiver General for Canada. The Commission, through the officers and employees of the Department of Employment and Social Development (ESDC), is responsible for the delivery of the Employment Insurance program and the day to day administration of the Account.

A key duty of the Commission is setting the annual EI premium rate. The Department of Employment and Social Development Act requires the Commission to engage the services of a Fellow of the Canadian Institute of Actuaries who is an employee of the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) to perform the actuarial forecasts and estimates for the purposes of EI premium rate setting.

On March 14, 2018, Ms. Annie St-Jacques was appointed as the Commission’s Senior Actuary, EI Premium Rate Setting. Ms. St-Jacques, who is a fellow of the Canadian Institute of Actuaries and of the Society of Actuaries, is a senior actuary at OSFI with over 15 years of actuarial experience, including recent experience working on the EI program and premium rate setting.

Among its regulation-making powers under the Act, the Commission, with the approval of the Governor-in-Council, is required to make regulations to provide a system to reduce employers’ and employees' premiums when payments under a provincial law would have the effect of reducing or eliminating the special benefits payable under the Act. The Quebec Parental Insurance Plan (QPIP) replaces EI maternity and parental benefits for residents of Quebec, and accordingly, the Commission establishes the premium reduction for employers and employees in respect of that plan.

In addition to its role in EI premium rate setting and related matters, the Commission produces the annual EI Monitoring and Assessment Report in fulfillment of its legislated responsibility to monitor and assess the impact and effectiveness of the benefits and other assistance provided for in the Employment Insurance Act for individuals, communities and the economy. Legislated timelines govern the required tabling of the EI Monitoring and Assessment Report in Parliament.

The Act authorizes the Commission, with the approval of the Minister of ESDC, to enter into Labour Market Development Agreements with each province and territory. Under these agreements, the Government of Canada provides contributions to provincial and territorial governments to be used to pay for all or a portion of the costs of their benefits and measures provided they are similar to the employment benefits and support measures established under Part II of the Act. The contributions can also be used to pay for any administration costs incurred in providing these similar benefits and measures.

Premium Rate Setting

Since April 1, 2016, the Commission has been responsible for setting the annual EI premium rate according to a seven-year break-even mechanism, as forecast by the EI Senior Actuary. This is the premium rate that will result in a balance of $0 in seven years in the EI Operating Account, including the elimination of any cumulative surplus or deficit in the Account. Annual changes to the premium rate are subject to a legislated limit of five cents. The seven-year break-even mechanism ensures stable and predictable premium rates for Canadian workers and employers, and is also intended to ensure that EI contributions are only used for EI purposes.

The Commission is also responsible for the publication of the annual Maximum Insurable Earnings (MIE), which is the income threshold up to which EI premiums are paid, as well as the premium reductions related to the Quebec Parental Insurance Plan (QPIP) and employer wage-loss plans under the Premium Reduction Program (PRP).

To ensure transparency and accountability in the EI premium rate setting process, the EI Senior Actuary prepares an actuarial report forecasting the premium rate for the following year, based on the seven-year break-even mechanism. In turn, the Commission prepares a summary of that report and makes both the actuarial report and its summary available to the public on the day the premium rate is set. The EI Act also requires the Minister of Employment and Social Development to table the Actuary’s report and the Commission’s summary report in both Houses of Parliament within 10 sitting days of their publication.

Recent EI Program Changes

Through Budget 2018, the Government announced additional improvements to EI, including:

  • Making the current EI Working While on Claim pilot project rules permanent, effective August 12, 2018. The current pilot project allows claimants to keep 50 cents of their benefits for every dollar they earn, up to a maximum of 90% of the weekly insurable earnings used to calculate their EI benefit amount.
  • Extending the Working While on Claim provisions to EI maternity and sickness benefits, effective August 12, 2018, so that mothers and those dealing with an illness or injury have greater flexibility to stage their return to work and keep more of their EI benefits.
  • Additional funding and supports for workers in seasonal industries affected by a loss of income in the off-season, provided through bilateral Labour Market Development Agreements with provinces and territories.
  • Introducing a new EI Parental Sharing Benefit to promote gender equality, which will provide additional five weeks of parental benefits when parents agree to share parental benefits.

In addition, on June 29, 2018, in response to the recent U.S tariffs imposed on Canadian steel and aluminum, the Government of Canada announced additional funding to extend Work-Sharing agreements, a job retention program, and additional investments in Labour Market Development Agreements for provincial and territorial delivered skills training and employment services to support affected workers and their employers.

2019 Premium Rate

The EI Senior Actuary has forecast the seven-year break-even rate for 2019 at $1.62 per $100 of insurable earnings, a decrease of 4 cents from the 2018 rate of $1.66. For residents of Quebec, the premium rate for 2019 is forecast at $1.25, to account for the fact that the province administers its own parental insurance plan which partially offsets costs to the EI program.

The decrease in the seven-year break-even rate is mainly attributable to the reduction in the unemployment rate assumptions over the projection period. The strength of the Canadian economy in 2018 also contributes to decrease the premium rate, with more people working and paying into the EI program and fewer claiming EI benefits than projected in the 2018 Actuarial Report. The reduction in the premium rate is partially offset by the cost of recent improvements introduced in Budget 2018, in particular the new Parental Sharing Benefit and the permanent Working While on Claim provisions. The recent strength of the Canadian economy results in an increase in the forecast cumulative surplus in the EI Operating Account to $2.6 billion on December 31, 2018, $2.3 billion higher than projected in the 2018 Actuarial Report.

The actuarial forecast rests on a number of sensitive assumptions, some of which have a more significant impact on the seven-year forecast break-even rate. For example, a variation in the average unemployment rate of ±0.5% over the 2019-2025 period would result in a 7 cent increase/decrease in the 2019 seven-year forecast break-even rate. In addition, a variation in the premium rate of ± 1 cent would result in a $1.2 billion increase/decrease in the cumulative balance of the EI Operating Account at the end of the seven-year forecast period.

To further illustrate the sensitivity of the seven-year forecast break even rate, the 2019 Actuarial Report includes new tests showing how variations in the unemployment rate, labour force and average employment income can impact the seven-year break-even rate and the balance of the Account. These tests are intended to provide a more comprehensive illustration of the long-term projection of the premium rate and the financial position of the account.

Actuarial Report: Main Findings

Pursuant to section 66.31 of the Employment Insurance Act, this summary presents the results of the EI Senior Actuary’s report in respect of the 2019 EI premium rate. In accordance with the legislation, the actuarial forecasts and estimates included are for the purposes of the calculation of the EI premium rate, the premium reductions related to the QPIP and employer wage-loss plans under the PRP, as well as the annual MIE.

Premium Rate:

  • The forecast seven-year break even EI premium rate for 2019 is $1.62 per $100 of insurable earnings, a decrease of 4 cents from the 2018 rate of $1.66.

QPIP Premium Reduction:

  • The 2019 QPIP reduction is 37 cents, meaning the premium rate that could be set for residents of Quebec in 2019 is $1.25 per $100 of insurable earnings.
  • The Employment Insurance Act and Regulations provide for premium reductions for residents of a province that administers its own insurance plan where those benefits replace federal EI benefits. As a result, EI premium rates are lower for residents of Quebec, because the province of Quebec administers its own parental insurance plan, known as the QPIP, which is financed by Quebec workers and their employers.

Premium Reduction Program:

  • The Employment Insurance Act and Regulations also provide for premium reductions for employers who provide their employees with qualified wage-loss plans that meet certain requirements and reduce EI special benefits (e.g. sickness benefits) payable. There are four categories of qualified plans, and for each category a rate of reduction is calculated annually, reflecting the average rate of savings for EI generated by plans in each category.
  • In 2019, it is estimated that the reductions will provide registered employers and their employees with $1 billion in premium relief. The premium reductions are shown in the table below.
  • There are approximately 29,400 employers registered in the PRP, covering about $302 billion in insurable earnings for 2019.
Premium Reduction Program table:
  Category 1 Category 2 Category 3 Category 4
Premium Reduction (per $100 of insurable earnings) $0.21 $0.36 $0.35 $0.39

Maximum Insurable Earnings:

  • Section 4 of the Employment Insurance Act provides for the annual calculation of the MIE, which is the maximum annual amount of employment income on which EI premiums are paid by workers and their employers and for which benefits may be paid. The MIE for 2019 is $53,100, up from $51,700 in 2018.
  • The MIE is indexed to the annual percentage increase in the average weekly earnings of the industrial aggregate in Canada, as published by Statistics Canada, to ensure that the level of income insured maintains its relative value.
  • As a result of the MIE and premium rates for the year, the maximum amounts of premiums paid by workers and employers (per employee) for 2019 are shown in the table below.
Maximum Insurable Earnings table:
EI Premium Rate
(per $100 of insurable earnings)
Maximum Annual EI Contribution Difference in Maximum Annual EI Contribution from 2018
Workers $1.62 $860.22 +$2.00
Employers $1.62 x 1.4 = $2.268 $1204.31 +$2.80
Workers in Quebec $1.25 $663.75 -$8.35
Quebec Employers $1.25 x 1.4 = $1.75 $929.25 -$11.69

Self-Employed Workers:

  • Self-employed individuals who have opted into the EI program in order to access EI special benefits pay the same premium rate as employees and pay premiums up to the MIE. Self-employed individuals do not pay the employer portion of EI premiums.
  • A self-employed person who opted into the EI program may qualify for EI special benefits providing they meet prescribed requirements, which includes a minimum amount of self-employed earnings. For 2019, the prescribed amount of self-employed earnings is $7,121.
  • The minimum level of earnings required by self-employed persons is indexed annually to the growth in the MIE to ensure that the level earnings required to be eligible for special benefits maintains its relative value over time.

EI Operating Account Projections:

  • Based on the premium rates described above, the EI Operating Account is projected to record an annual surplus of $37 million for 2019. As a result, the cumulative surplus in the Account is forecast to be $2.6 billion as of December 31, 2019. Forecast EI revenues and expenditures for 2018 and beyond are shown in the table below.
Summary of the EI Operating Account ($ million)
Calendar Year Premium Rate
(%)
Net Premium Revenues Expenditures Annual
Surplus
(Deficit)
Cumulative Surplus
(Deficit) December 31
2018 1.66% 22,301 21,323 977 2,579
2019 1.62% 22,442 22,404 37 2,617
2020 1.62% 23,244 23,528 (285) 2,332
2021 1.62% 24,048 24,588 (540) 1,792
2022 1.62% 24,921 25,468 (546) 1,246
2023 1.62% 25,848 26,175 (327) 918
2024 1.62% 26,779 27,098 (319) 600
2025 1.62% 27,736 27,903 (167) 433*

*The cumulative balance in the EI Operating Account at the end of 2025 is not exactly $0 since the 7-year forecast break-even rate is rounded to the nearest cent.

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