Guide to Air Quality Health Index forecasts

The Air Quality Health Index (AQHI) was developed, in partnership with Health Canada, the provinces and other local partners. It is a public information tool that provides daily forecasts about air quality levels. It lists, on a scale from one to 10, the health risks associated with certain air pollutants known to be harmful to human health. Using the scale, Canadians can be better prepared to deal with air pollution and take the appropriate steps to limit their exposure.

The AQHI is forecasted twice daily for certain locations across Canada; it also predicts maximum AQHI values over the next three days, and provides other related health messages. To get the latest AQHI forecast for a specific location, visit your local AQHI conditions.

When are forecasts issued?

The AQHI forecast bulletins are issued two times per day: the first one is issued at 6:00 a.m., and the second one is issued at 5:00 p.m. local time.

What time period does the forecast cover?

The following table indicates the time period that the forecast covers for each of the two forecast issue times. The issue times of the bulletin are within a half-hour of the times indicated above.

Table 1 : Time periods for the AQHI forecast bulletins

Forecast Issued at: Today Tonight Tomorrow Tomorrow night Next Day
6:00 a.m. 6:00 a.m. to 6:00 p.m. 6:00 p.m. to 6:00 a.m. 6:00 a.m. to 6:00 p.m. 6:00 p.m. to 6:00 a.m. N/A
5:00 p.m. N/A Issue time to 6:00 a.m. 6:00 a.m. to 6:00 p.m. 6:00 p.m. to 6:00 a.m. 6:00 a.m. to 6 p.m.

How are forecast regions defined?

Forecast regions are closely aligned with cities, communities and municipal boundaries. Local factors such as terrain, land cover and population patterns were used to define these regions. The names of the forecast regions generally correspond with those of the most prominent communities or geographic regions. The names were chosen on the basis of how well they represent the area covered by the region. All official place names can be found in the Canadian Geographical Names Database.

What information is included in the forecast?

The AQHI forecast bulletin will always contain the following standard elements:

Forecast revision

The Air Quality Health Index forecast is amended when forthcoming conditions are expected to be significantly different from those originally forecasted, but only in a way that public safety is at risk, or when public inconvenience will be extensive. Making an amendment is always at the forecaster’s discretion. An amendment to the Air Quality Health Index forecast bulletin is initiated when the following criteria have been satisfied:

Special Air Quality Statement

The purpose of the Special Air Quality Statement is to explain air quality situations that cannot be adequately described in the Air Quality Health Index forecast bulletin.

These include:

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