Banff Springs snail (Physella johnsoni) COSEWIC assessment and status report: chapter 13

Technical Summary

Physella johnsoni

Banff Springs Snail
Physe des fontaines de Banff

Range of Occurrence in Canada: Alberta


Demographic Information

Generation time (average age of parents in the population)
<1 yr

Population trend and dynamics

Observed percentage of increase in total number of mature individuals over the last 10 years.

Results based on linear regression estimates of yearly population minima, maxima, and mean for 1996 through 2005 (Figure 12).

Original 5: 1996 max.=10 608; 2005 max.=16 965
All 7: 1996 min.=2 536; 2005 min.=9 358
1996 max.=6 246; 2005 max.=29 908
1996 mean=3 746; 2005 mean=19 058

Original 5 subpopulations combined, minima: no discernible trend in linear regression of yearly minima (P=0.143), maxima: significant increase in linear regression of yearly maxima (P=0.037) and a 60% increase in yearly linear regression estimates of maxima between 1996 and 2005.

Original 5 + re-introduced subpopulations, minima: 269% increase, maxima: 379% increase, mean: 409% increase
409% increase
Projected percentage of reduction in total number of mature individuals over the next 10 years.
Not applicable

Inferred percentage reduction in total number of mature individuals over any 10 years period, over a time period including both the past and the future.
Decline projected if drying trend of springs continues/increases
Not applicable

Are the causes of the decline clearly reversible?
Not applicable

Are the causes of the decline clearly understood?
Not applicable

Are the causes of the decline clearly ceased?
Not applicable

Observed trend in number of populations
Stable
Are there extreme fluctuations in number of mature individuals?
Detailed populations counts occurred once every three weeks from January 1996 through August 2000, and then once every four weeks since then.
Yes
Are there extreme fluctuations in number of populations?
Yes


Number of mature individuals in each population

One population with subpopulations
10+ year minimum and maximum (January 1996 through May 2007), total counts, mostly mature individuals
( Table 1 )
Kidney (re-introduced November 2003)
8–8 852
Upper Middle (re-introduced November 2002)
16–16 247
Lower Middle
30–4 221
Cave
474–5 657
Basin
162–10 242
Upper C&B
147–3 268
Lower C&B
43–4 619
Grand Total


Extent and Area Information

Estimated extent of occurrence (km2)

In 2006; Historical: 0.345 km2; 1996: 0.0326 km2.
See p.13 on how this was derived.
Historical 1926 excluding the Banff Springs Hotel & Vermilion Cool sites; 1996 includes 5 extant subpopulations; 2006 includes the 5 extant and 2 re-introduced subpopulations.
0.177 km2

Observed trend in extent of occurrence
From 1996–2006, 443%; 91% decline historical - 1996.
Increase over last 10 years due to re-introducing 2 subpopulations.
Increase
Are there extreme fluctuations in extent of occurrence?
Extreme fluctuations possible due to extirpation and anthropogenic re-introductions from extant subpopulations.
Yes
Estimated area of occupancy (km2)

AO calculated by Alain Filion, COSEWIC Secretariat, April 2008
Biological area of occupancy, based on the two-dimensional surface area of all microsites (see Table 1): 0.0006 km2
5 km2 (1×1 km grid)

Observed trend in area of occupancy
Stable
Are there extreme fluctuations in area of occupancy?
Extreme fluctuations possible due to extirpation and anthropogenic re-introduced from extant subpopulations.
Yes
Is the total population severely fragmented?
Yes
Number of current locations
3
Trend in number of locations
Increase
Are there extreme fluctuations in number of locations?
No
Observed trend in area, extent and quality of habitat
Drying trend of springs removes and affects quality of habitat.
Additional protection in the form of Park Superintendent closures, fencing, electronic surveillance, and communication with visitors has improved the overall quality of habitat since 1996.
Decline


Quantitative Analysis

RAMAS GIS population modelling done by Tischendorf (2003) on 7 years of population data (1996 through 2002) for separate subpopulations and all subpopulations combined; subpopulations had not yet been re-introduced at Upper Middle and Kidney and are therefore not included in the analyses. Probability of population extirpation and species extinction estimated from one thousand simulation runs over a time frame of 40 years. Percentage extirpation/extinction probabilities are at the end of the 40 year time frame.
Lower Middle: 27%
Cave: 21%
Basin: 4%
Upper C&B: 3%
Lower C&B: 29%
All 5 combined: 0%
[0% probability of extirpation in 40 years]


Threats (actual or imminent, to populations or habitats)

In order of certainty and severity (highest to lowest) the following threats have been identified (Table 2 and Limiting Factors and Threats) and occur naturally (N) or by humans through facility operations (FO) or other actions (Hu):

  1. Thermal water flow stoppages (N)
  2. Thermal water flow reductions / fluctuations (N and FO)
  3. Thermal water flow redirections (N, FO)
  4. Limited or low quality habitat (N, FO)
  5. Soaking and swimming (Hu)
  6. Population lows and genetic inbreeding (N)
  7. Trampling and other local disturbances (Hu)
  8. Limb-dipping (Hu)
  9. Stochastic events (N)
  10. Others (predation, competition, collecting, twitch-ups) (Hu, N)

 


Rescue Effect (immigration from an outside source): No

Status of outside population(s)?
Not applicable: Species is endemic to thermal springs in Banff National Park, Alberta.
Is immigration known or possible?
Not applicable
Would immigrants be adapted to survive in Canada?
Not applicable
Is there sufficient habitat for immigrants in Canada?
Not applicable
Is rescue from outside populations likely?
No

 

Current Status

COSEWIC: Threatened (April 1997)
COSEWIC: Endangered (May 2000)
COSEWIC: Endangered (April 2008)
Global Status: G1
Alberta Status: S1

 


Status and Reasons for Designation

Status: Endangered
Alpha-numeric code: B1ac(iv)+2ac(iv)

Reasons for Designation: This is a Canadian endemic species with its distribution entirely within the upper reaches of fewer than 5 separate thermal springs locations in Banff National Park, Alberta. These springs comprise a single population, which makes it very susceptible to a catastrophic event. These short-lived animals undergo natural annual fluctuations of over two orders of magnitude. All thermal springs historically or currently occupied by this species have been impacted by human development. These snails are habitat specialists requiring a steady supply of warm thermal spring water containing a high concentration of dissolved minerals and a complex microbial community that provides food and habitat. The species and its habitat are currently protected from disturbance and destruction under Species at Risk Act and the Canada National Parks Act, but illegal activities such as soaking in thermal waters, which can crush snails and eggs and disturb habitat, are ongoing. The increase in frequency of springs drying due to climate change, which has been observed in the past decade, is believed to be an important threat to this species’ survival. However, the species is closely monitored by Parks Canada.

 


Applicability of Criteria

Criterion A (Decline in Total Number of Mature Individuals):
Does not apply. There is no current evidence that the population is declining or will decline over the next 10 years.

Criterion B (Small Distribution Range and Decline or Fluctuation):
Meets B1ac(iv)+2ac(iv) 1: EO = 0.177 km2 (< 5000 km2) – Endangered 2: AO = 0.0006 km2 (< 500 km2) – Endangered a: Population severely fragmented and found in 3 locations (< or = 5, Endangered), c(iv): Extreme fluctuations of numbers of individuals.

Criterion C (Small and Declining Number of Mature Individuals):
Does not apply. The number of individuals, most mature, varies annually (1 561–33 915) but the population overall has not declined.

Criterion D (Very Small Population or Restricted Distribution):
Meets D2 for Threatened. The species has a very restricted AO (5 km2), with 3 locations forming 1 population; it is a habitat specialist requiring geothermally regulated water, a high concentration of dissolved minerals and a complex microbial community. The population is of limited extent and prone to the effects of human activities or stochastic events within a very short time period.

Criterion E (Quantitative Analysis):
A quantitative analysis was done and the probability of extinction in the wild over the next 40 years (based on the 5 original locations) was zero. The probability of extirpation of individual sub-populations was higher: Lower Middle springs 27%, Cave 21%, Basin 4%, Upper Cave and Basin 3%, Lower Cave and Basin 29%.

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