Economic profile: Red River region, Manitoba
Overview
The Red River regionFootnote 1 has a population of 13,970, consisting of 14% seniors (65 and older), 64% working-age adults (15 to 64) and 22% children (under 15).
The key sectors of the economy in the Red River region, which account for 38% of the jobs in the region, are
- construction
- health care and social assistance
- educational services
There are 6,760 employed residents, of which 4.5% are immigrants.Footnote 2
The economy generates a total of $806 million in household and business incomes, which amounts to $57,679 per resident.
General age structure – 2021
| In the region | In the province | |
|---|---|---|
| % children (under 15) | 22% | 19% |
| % working-age adults (15 to 64) | 64% | 64% |
| % of seniors (65 and older) | 14% | 17% |
Sustainability
In order to support local services such as health care and social programs and maintain a good standard of living for everyone in the region, it is essential to have more working-age adults than seniors. The Red River region has more working-age adults than seniors compared to the average in Manitoba.
From 2011 to 2021, the Red River region experienced
- a 23% increase in population, compared to an 11% increase in the province
- a 29% increase in the population’s proportion of seniors, compared to a 20% increase in the province
- a 5.4% decrease in the population’s proportion of working-age adults, compared to a 3.8% decrease in the province
Population structure – Changes from 2011 to 2021
| Changes in the region | Changes in the province | |
|---|---|---|
| Total population | +23% | +11% |
| Proportion of children | +1.4% | -1.5% |
| Proportion of working-age adults | -5.4% | -3.8% |
| Proportion of seniors | +29% | +20% |
By 2031, without immigration,Footnote 3 the region could experienceFootnote 4
- a 2.5% increase in population
- a 4.1% decrease in the population’s proportion of working-age adults, which could limit the availability and quality of local services
- a further increase in the population’s proportion of seniors by 47%, potentially changing the demand for local services, including health care and long-term care
No immigration – Possible changes from 2021 to 2031
| Changes in the region | Changes in the province | |
|---|---|---|
| Total population | +2.5% | +2.3% |
| Proportion of children | -19% | -8.3% |
| Proportion of working-age adults | -4.1% | -4.3% |
| Proportion of seniors | +47% | +25% |
Prosperity
The region relies heavily on working-age adults to keep local services running smoothly and to maintain a good standard of living and economic growth. Immigrants can help by filling job gaps and bringing new skills and ideas, which keeps the local economy strong.
From 2011 to 2021, the Red River region experienced
- a 14% increase in workforceFootnote 5 size, compared to a 7.0% increase in the province
- a 42% increase in the number of immigrant workers, compared to a 46% increase in the province
- a total of 1,121 retirements,Footnote 6 which amounts to 15% of the 2021 workforce, compared to 17% in the province
- a change in the average income per resident from local jobs relative to the province, which is 5.5% higher than the average in Manitoba in 2021
Economic changes from 2011 to 2021
| Changes in the region | Changes in the province | |
|---|---|---|
| Workforce | +14% | +7.0% |
| Immigrant workers | +42% | +46% |
| Retirement as % of 2021 workforce | 15% | 17% |
| Wage income generated from jobsFootnote 7 | +55% | +35% |
By 2031, without immigration,Footnote 8 the region could experienceFootnote 9
- a 28% decrease in workforce size
- a 27% decrease in the number of jobs
- an increase in the proportion of seniors in the population from 14% to 21%
No immigration – Possible changes from 2021 to 2031
| Changes in the region | Changes in the province | |
|---|---|---|
| Workforce | -28% | -31% |
| Retirement as % of 2031 workforce | 24% | 24% |
| Number of jobs | -27% | -28% |
Supporting the community’s French-speaking population
Francophone immigration outside Quebec plays an important role in enhancing the vitality and economic development of Francophone minority communities across the country.
The Red River region is part of the Welcoming Francophone Communities initiative launched by Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada. This initiative supports the economic and socio-cultural integration of French-speaking newcomers. In the Red River region, St- Pierre-Jolys is also one of six communities in Canada participating in the Francophone Community Immigration Pilot, a community-driven pilot designed to spread the benefits of economic immigration to smaller communities and increase the number of French-speaking newcomers in Francophone minority communities outside of Quebec.
In total, 39% of the Red River region’s population speaks French, with 23% speaking French as a first language and 15% as a second language.
Unless otherwise noted, all statistics are from the 2011, 2016 or 2021 editions of the Statistics Canada Census, and all calculations are from the Canadian Centre for Economic Analysis.