Forecasted prevalence: Report from the Canadian Chronic Disease Surveillance System: Hypertension in Canada, 2010

Adults with Diagnosed Hypertension (Forecasted Prevalence) Footnote 24 Footnote 25

If current rates of hypertension by age and sex remain constant:

  • By 2011/12, the number of Canadians aged 20 and older with diagnosed hypertension is forecasted to be about 7.3 million – an estimated increase of 25.5% from 2006/07 (Figure 4).
  • By 2011/12, among all adults with diagnosed hypertension, almost one in two (48.9%) will be in the 55 to 74 year age range (Figures 5 and 6).
  • By 2011/12, about 346,300 adults between the ages of 20 to 40 years are forecasted to be living with diagnosed hypertension – an overall increase of about 25.2% from 2006/07 (Figures 5 and 6).

Figure 4. Observed and Projected Number of Prevalent Cases of Diagnosed Hypertension - Number of cases 20 Years and Older
Text Equivalent - Figure 4

Figure 4. Observed and Projected Number of Prevalent Cases of Diagnosed Hypertension - Number of cases 20 Years and Older

Observed and projected number of prevalent cases of diagnosed hypertension among people aged 20 years and older, by sex, are presented in Figure 4. Observed cases are shown from 2002/03 to 2006/07 and projected cases are shown from 2007/08 to 2011/12. Note that data for Nunavut and Québec were unavailable. However, for this analysis, the number of cases for Québec was estimated by applying the Canadian age-specific rates of diagnosed hypertension weighted to the Québec population.

By 2011/12, the number of Canadians aged 20 and older with diagnosed hypertension is forecasted to be about 7.3 million - an estimated increase of 25.5% from 2006/07.




Figure 5. Observed and Projected Prevalence Rates of Diagnosed Hypertension among Women Aged: 20 Years and Older
Text Equivalent - Figure 5

Figure 5. Observed and Projected Prevalence Rates of Diagnosed Hypertension among Women Aged: 20 Years and Older

Observed and projected number of prevalent cases of diagnosed hypertension among women aged 20 years and older, by age group, are presented in Figure 5. Observed cases are shown from 2002/03 to 2006/07 and projected cases are shown from 2007/08 to 2011/12. Note that data for Nunavut and Québec were unavailable.

By 2011/12, among all adults with diagnosed hypertension, almost one in two (48.9%) will be in the 55 to 74 year age range. By 2011/12, about 346,300 adults between the ages of 20 to 40 years are forecasted to be living with diagnosed hypertension - an overall increase of about 25.2% from 2006/07.




Figure 6. Observed and Projected Prevalence Rates of Diagnosed Hypertension among Men Aged 20 Years and Older
Text Equivalent - Figure 6

Figure 6. Observed and Projected Prevalence Rates of Diagnosed Hypertension among Men Aged 20 Years and Older

Observed and projected number of prevalent cases of diagnosed hypertension among men aged 20 years and older, by age group, are presented in Figure 6. Observed cases are shown from 2002/03 to 2006/07 and projected cases are shown from 2007/08 to 2011/12. Note that data for Nunavut and Québec were unavailable.

By 2011/12, among all adults with diagnosed hypertension, almost one in two (48.9%) will be in the 55 to 74 year age range. By 2011/12, about 346,300 adults between the ages of 20 to 40 years are forecasted to be living with diagnosed hypertension - an overall increase of about 25.2% from 2006/07.




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