Evaluation of Canada’s meteorological warning services for Arctic Ocean: chapter 9

Annex 1 shows the program logic model, which presents a graphical depiction of how the activities and outputs of Environment Canada’s meteorological services relate to direct, intermediate, and final outcomes of this sub-activity. Program activities lead to outputs which in turn lead to direct outcomes, then to immediate outcomes, and eventually to final outcomes.

Expected Program Activities:

• Service and product design and improvement
• Platform development
• Monitoring
• Science and technology
• Operational numerical weather prediction
• Operational desks
• Product dissemination

Expected Program Outputs (products and services):

• Standards and service levels
• New product platform to enable product generation for marine and ice bulletins
• Observational Data:
  • Coastal
  • Marine (on-ice and on-water)
  • Space-based
• Integrated Marine Arctic Prediction System
• Numerical weather prediction model outputs
• Weather, sea-state and ice forecasts
• Standardized and coordinated bulletins

Targeted Audiences:

• Canadian and international safety and security agencies
• International and domestic mariners
• Weather-sensitive economic sectors operating in the North
• Northern residents

Expected Direct Outcomes:

• Canadians and international safety and security agencies have access to sufficient meteorological, sea-state and ice information to support security operations and search and rescue response
• Mariners have access to sufficient meteorological, sea-state and ice information to facilitate safe and efficient navigation
• Economic sectors have access to sufficient meteorological, sea-state and ice information to facilitate safe and efficient operations
• Northern residents have access to improved meteorological and ice information

Expected Intermediate Outcomes:

• Canada meets its Issuing Services commitments to the International Maritime Organization
• Mariners use meteorological, sea-state and ice information in their operations
• Economic sectors use meteorological, sea-state and ice information in their operations
• Northern residents use meteorological information

Expected Final Outcomes (Benefits to Canadians):

• Canada demonstrates Arctic sovereignty
• Reduced risk of marine safety incidents in MET areas XVII and XVIII related to meteorological, sea-state and ice conditions
• Increased efficiency of marine navigation and economic activities in the North
• Reduced risk to human safety and property from hazardous meteorological, sea-state and ice conditions in the North