Appendix G: Detailed results Employment Assistance Services only
Official title: Evaluation of the Labour Market Development Agreements
Table G1. Socio-demographic and labour market characteristics of Employment Assistance Services only participants
Active claimants | Former claimants | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
2002-2005 | 2007-2008 | 2002-2005 | 2007-2008 | |
Number of observations | 374,348 | 216,461 | 211,718 | 119,298 |
Gender | ||||
Male | 54% | 49% | 55% | 48% |
Female | 45% | 51% | 45% | 52% |
Age | ||||
Under 25 | 11% | 10% | 12% | 11% |
25 to 34 | 28% | 24% | 30% | 28% |
35 to 44 | 30% | 27% | 30% | 28% |
45 and over | 31% | 38% | 28% | 33% |
Marital status | ||||
Married or common-law | 46% | 46% | 33% | 34% |
Widow/ divorced or separated | 14% | 14% | 16% | 15% |
Single | 37% | 37% | 45% | 44% |
Missing data / Unknown | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% |
Skills level related to National Occupation Code associated with the last EI claim opened before Employment Assistance Services participation1 | ||||
Managerial | 5% | 6% | 4% | 4% |
University | 7% | 5% | 6% | 4% |
College or apprenticeship training | 28% | 27% | 24% | 24% |
Secondary or occupational training | 38% | 40% | 38% | 39% |
On-the-job training | 22% | 23% | 28% | 28% |
Key labour market indicators in the year preceding the start of participation | ||||
Earnings2 | $22,335 | $22,2143 | $10,530 | $11,9913 |
Proportion employed | 97% | 99% | 81% | 85% |
Proportion on EI | 46% | 45% | 59% | 56% |
Proportion on SA | 6% | 5% | 23% | 20% |
Proportions may not add up to 100% due to rounding
1 Skill level corresponds to the type and/or amount of training or education typically required to work in the last occupation participants had before opening the last EI claim they had before participating in EBSMs:
- -Managerial: Management occupations
- -University: Occupations usually requiring university education (in other words, University degree at the bachelor's, master's or doctorate level)
- -College or apprenticeship training: Occupations usually requiring college or vocational education or apprenticeship training such as 2 to 3 years of post-secondary education at a community college, institute of technology or CEGEP or 2 to 5 years of apprenticeship training or 3 to 4 years of secondary school and more than 2 years of on-the-job training, specialized training courses or specific work experience and/or occupations with supervisory responsibilities and occupations with significant health and safety responsibilities, such as firefighters, police officers and registered nursing assistants.
- - Secondary or occupational training: Occupations usually requiring secondary school and/or occupation-specific training such as one to four years of secondary school education or up to 2 years of on-the-job training specialized training courses or specific work experience.
- -On-the-job training: On-the-job training is usually provided for occupations (in other words, short work demonstration or on-the-job training or no formal educational requirements).
2 Average earnings for all individuals included in the studies. The average was calculated including participants who reported $0 earnings during that year.
3 Earnings for 2007-2008 participants have been adjusted by the Consumer Price Index published by Statistics Canada, using 2002 as the base year.
Table G2. Incremental impacts for Employment Assistance Services only
Indicators | In-program period | Post-program period | Total in- and post-program | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st year | 2nd year | 3rd year | 4th year | 5th year | Total post | |||
Active claimants | ||||||||
2002-2005 Participants (n=38,564 or a random sample of 10% of participants) | ||||||||
Employment earnings ($) | -2,913*** | -1,097*** | -279*** | 347* | 645*** | 742*** | 358 | -2,555*** |
Incidence of employment (percentage points) |
-0.5*** | 0.6* | 0.8*** | 1.7*** | 1.8*** | 1.7*** | n/a | n/a |
EI benefits ($) | 697*** | -451*** | -312*** | -251*** | -222*** | -136*** | -1,375*** | -677*** |
EI weeks (weeks) | 2.1*** | -1.5*** | -0.9*** | -0.8*** | -0.7*** | -0.4*** | -4.3*** | -2.2*** |
SA benefits ($) | 60*** | 94*** | 31*** | 23* | 29*** | 36*** | 213*** | 273*** |
Dependence on income support (percentage points) | 5.6*** | -1.2*** | -0.9*** | -0.9*** | -0.6*** | -0.4* | n/a | n/a |
2007-2008 Participants (n=108,230 or a random sample of 50% of participants) | ||||||||
Employment earnings ($) | -3,134*** | -1,113*** | -368*** | 87 | n/a | n/a | -1,395*** | -4,529*** |
Incidence of employment (percentage points) |
0.3** | 0.6*** | 0.6*** | 0.8*** | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a |
EI benefits ($) | 788*** | -512*** | -371*** | -288*** | n/a | n/a | -$1,171 | -384 |
EI weeks (weeks) | 1.9*** | -1.7*** | -1.1*** | -0.8*** | n/a | n/a | -3.6*** | -1.7*** |
SA benefits ($) | 67*** | 89*** | 48*** | 37*** | n/a | n/a | 174*** | 241*** |
Dependence on income support (percentage points) | 5.6*** | -1.0*** | -0.9*** | -0.7*** | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a |
Sub-groups of active claimants | ||||||||
Youth (below 30 years old) – 2002-2005 participants (n=46,771) | ||||||||
Employment earnings ($) | -1,895*** | -510*** | 16 | 372*** | 510*** | 650*** | 1,039*** | -855 |
Incidence of employment (percentage points) |
0.3 | 0.9 | 0.4** | 0.7*** | 0.6** | 0.5** | n/a | n/a |
EI benefits ($) | 406*** | -539*** | -339*** | -262*** | -183*** | -136*** | -1,457*** | -1,051*** |
EI weeks (weeks) | 1.4*** | -1.7*** | -0.9*** | -0.7*** | -0.4*** | -0.3** | -4** | -2.6*** |
SA benefits ($) | 1 | 62*** | 27*** | 16* | 29*** | 28*** | 164*** | 165*** |
Dependence on income support (percentage points) | 5.7*** | -2.3*** | -0.5*** | -0.5*** | 0.4*** | 0.9*** | n/a | n/a |
Older workers (55 years old and over) – 2002-2005 participants (n=32,480) | ||||||||
Employment earnings ($) | -2,717*** | -661*** | 741*** | 1,575*** | 2,199*** | 2,318*** | 6,173*** | 3,456*** |
Incidence of employment (percentage points) |
0.9*** | 3.8*** | 5.2*** | 6.6*** | 7.7*** | 7.7*** | n/a | n/a |
EI benefits ($) | 841*** | -302*** | -229*** | -80** | -3 | 83** | -531*** | 309** |
EI weeks (weeks) | 2.5*** | -0.9*** | -0.6*** | -0.2* | 0.1 | 0.3** | -1.5*** | 1** |
SA benefits ($) | -24*** | 66*** | 70*** | 73*** | 68*** | 68*** | 345*** | 320*** |
Dependence on income support (percentage points) | 5.4*** | -1.6*** | -0.8*** | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.9*** | n/a | n/a |
Long-tenured workers - 2007-2009 participants (n=45,182 or a random sample of 40% of participants) | ||||||||
Employment earnings ($) | -4,866*** | -2,659*** | -1,281*** | -822*** | n/a | n/a | -4,763*** | -9,630*** |
Incidence of employment (percentage points) |
-0.8*** | -1.4*** | -1.1*** | -1.0*** | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a |
EI benefits ($) | 1,447*** | -8 | -374*** | -263*** | n/a | n/a | -644*** | 802*** |
EI weeks (weeks) | 3.0*** | -0.5*** | -1.0*** | -0.7*** | n/a | n/a | -2.2*** | 0.9*** |
SA benefits ($) | 47*** | 84*** | 67*** | 54*** | n/a | n/a | 205*** | 251*** |
Dependence on income support (percentage points) | 7.3*** | 1.3*** | -1.1*** | -0.6*** | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a |
Significance level *** 1%; ** 5%; * 10%
Table G3. Incremental impacts related to the timing of participation in Employment Assistance Services
Cohorts | n= | In-program | Post-program period | Total impact post-program |
Total impact in- and post- program | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 year | 2 years | 3 years | 4 years | 5 years | |||||
Employment earnings | |||||||||
1 to 4 weeks | 39,354 | -$505*** | $258*** | $1,708*** | $2,343*** | $2,804*** | $3,080*** | $10,192*** | $9,687*** |
5 to 8 weeks | 31,168 | -$2,046*** | -$765*** | $444*** | $1,123*** | $1,511*** | $1,574*** | $3,888*** | $1,842*** |
9 to 12 weeks | 48,648 | -$3,109*** | -$839*** | $124 | $783*** | $1,179*** | $1,296*** | $2,543*** | -$566 |
2nd quarter | 38,513 | -$4,566*** | -$1,106*** | -$240** | $327*** | $603*** | $775*** | $358 | -$4,209*** |
3rd quarter | 38,495 | -$6,680*** | -$1,139*** | -$703*** | -$178 | $151 | $114 | -$1,754*** | -$8,433*** |
4th quarter | 24,456 | -$6,814*** | -$545*** | -$696*** | -$253 | -$11 | $287 | -$1,218 | -$8,032*** |
Incidence of employment | |||||||||
1 to 4 weeks | 39,354 | 2.6pp*** | 2.1pp*** | 1.6pp*** | 1.6pp*** | 0.9pp*** | 0.3pp | n/a | n/a |
5 to 8 weeks | 31,168 | 1.4pp*** | 0.4pp* | 0.3pp | 0.2pp | -0.3pp | -0.8pp*** | n/a | n/a |
9 to 12 weeks | 48,648 | 0.2pp | -0.6pp*** | -0.6pp*** | -0.4pp** | -0.6pp*** | -1.0pp*** | n/a | n/a |
2nd quarter | 38,513 | -1.2pp*** | -0.5pp** | -0.6pp** | -0.4pp | -0.5pp** | -0.7pp*** | n/a | n/a |
3rd quarter | 38,495 | -4.1pp*** | -0.5pp** | -0.7pp*** | -0.6pp** | -0.7pp*** | -1.0pp*** | n/a | n/a |
4th quarter | 24,456 | -5.8pp*** | -0.4pp | -1.1pp | -0.5pp | -0.8pp | -0.2pp | n/a | n/a |
EI benefits | |||||||||
1 to 4 weeks | 39,354 | $298*** | $5 | -$209*** | -$137*** | -$84*** | -$80*** | -$503*** | -$205** |
5 to 8 weeks | 31,168 | $1,174*** | -$31*** | -$214*** | -$195*** | -$157*** | -$65*** | -$663*** | $511*** |
9 to 12 weeks | 48,648 | $1,470*** | -$385*** | -$270*** | -$229*** | -$198*** | -$146*** | -$1,228*** | $242*** |
2nd quarter | 38,513 | $1,809*** | -$687*** | -$333*** | -$196*** | -$138*** | -$94*** | -$1,449*** | $360*** |
3rd quarter | 38,495 | $1,823*** | -$1,502*** | -$453*** | -$364*** | -$240*** | -$164*** | -$2,723*** | -$899*** |
4th quarter | 24,456 | $1,498*** | -$1,911*** | -$442*** | -$355*** | -$266*** | -$167*** | -$3,143*** | -$1,645*** |
* Significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1%
n= refers to the number of participants. It corresponds to 100% of participants. pp= percentage points
Note: for the estimations we have selected a 50% random sample among comparison group in each cohort due to their large number. We used 100% of participants.
Table G4. Incremental impacts on the time of return to employment for the participation in Employment Assistance Services only
Cohorts | 1 to 4 weeks | 5 to 8 weeks | 9 to 12 week | 2nd quarter | 3rd quarter | 4th quarter |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(N=39,354) | (N=31,168) | (N=48,648) | (N=38,513) | (N=38,495) | (N=24,456) | |
Time of return to employment | 2.9wks*** | -0.5wks*** | -1.9wks*** | -3.3wks*** | -3.5wks*** | -3.0wks*** |
* Significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1%
Table G5. Cost-benefit results from the social perspective for Employment Assistance Services only
Total costs and benefits over participation (1 to 2 years) and 6 years post-program | Active claimants (n=38,564) |
---|---|
Program cost | -$692 |
Marginal social costs of public funds | -$197 |
Employment earnings (including participant’s forgone earnings) | -$2,079 |
Fringe benefit | -$312 |
Net present value (By how much do the benefits exceed the costs within 6 years after participation?) |
-$3,280 |
Cost-benefit ratio (How much does it cost in EI part II funds to achieve $1 in benefit 6 years after participation?) |
Negative benefits |
Payback period (How many years after participation would it take for the benefits to recover the costs?) |
10.9 years |
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