Canadian species index

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Animal wildlife is one of the most visible and well-studied aspects of biodiversity. The 2022 Living Planet Index, which tracks populations of vertebrate species, indicates an average global decline of 69% in the relative abundance of monitored wildlife populations since 1970.

The Canadian species index indicator uses similar methods to the Living Planet Index but is based on a selection of Canadian species. It shows whether the population abundanceFootnote 1 of monitored vertebrate species have increased or decreased since 1970. The index is an "average of trends", rather than a measure of change in the total number of animals: each species, whether it is common or rare, has the same effect on the index. This, in turn, provides an integrated measure of the condition of our environment.

By species group

Canadian species index by species group

Key results

Between 1970 and 2018,

  • the population abundance of all monitored vertebrate species declined by 7% on average
  • the population abundance of monitored mammal and fish species decreased by 42% and 30% on average, respectively

Canadian species index, 1970 to 2018

Canadian species index, 1970 to 2018 (see long description below)
Data table for the long description
Canadian species index, 1970 to 2018
Year National index
(percent change since 1970)
Number of species Bird index
(percent change since 1970)
Number of bird species Mammal index
(percent change since 1970)
Number of mammal species Fish index
(percent change since 1970)
Number of fish species
1970 0.00 449 0.00 337 0.00 27 0.00 85
1971 1.45 460 1.27 339 -8.81 31 5.68 90
1972 2.66 461 2.57 342 -15.93 32 10.05 82
1973 3.52 475 3.96 342 -21.93 37 12.51 96
1974 3.98 498 5.58 357 -30.66 34 14.15 107
1975 4.53 493 7.11 365 -35.58 32 14.51 95
1976 4.85 497 8.36 362 -37.31 29 13.21 104
1977 5.03 505 9.23 364 -37.22 37 12.08 102
1978 5.59 503 9.96 367 -34.21 27 10.97 108
1979 6.34 509 10.83 367 -31.60 29 10.66 113
1980 7.25 517 11.78 369 -28.08 30 10.37 117
1981 8.03 519 12.60 369 -24.41 29 9.93 119
1982 8.01 524 13.19 371 -25.55 28 9.31 122
1983 8.11 535 13.70 378 -27.30 26 8.83 128
1984 8.97 565 15.24 376 -28.47 30 8.78 156
1985 9.70 551 16.79 381 -29.85 31 9.11 131
1986 10.02 558 18.13 381 -31.00 29 7.70 141
1987 8.85 585 17.71 377 -32.44 39 5.10 161
1988 8.06 549 17.72 376 -31.30 33 2.14 133
1989 7.23 579 17.83 376 -29.88 38 -1.21 157
1990 6.96 567 18.03 378 -28.17 47 -4.13 130
1991 6.58 590 18.27 379 -26.92 42 -6.27 156
1992 6.30 580 18.49 384 -26.80 41 -7.61 142
1993 6.50 613 18.56 384 -27.25 47 -6.81 168
1994 7.07 606 18.38 385 -28.45 51 -3.99 154
1995 7.15 603 17.98 387 -26.79 56 -2.91 141
1996 6.95 595 17.32 380 -22.86 52 -3.20 142
1997 6.52 583 16.44 381 -19.82 58 -4.60 122
1998 5.27 617 15.40 381 -20.35 56 -6.64 157
1999 4.17 592 14.20 381 -22.16 61 -7.95 123
2000 3.31 616 12.93 383 -23.21 59 -8.55 149
2001 2.77 601 12.11 382 -24.94 62 -8.49 134
2002 2.07 625 11.12 381 -26.32 56 -9.22 161
2003 1.59 664 10.34 381 -26.01 51 -9.73 204
2004 1.07 675 10.53 385 -23.76 53 -12.97 210
2005 1.17 695 11.11 391 -21.41 51 -14.30 229
2006 1.32 676 11.57 381 -19.55 44 -14.61 227
2007 1.17 696 11.36 388 -17.97 45 -15.23 246
2008 0.43 678 10.53 389 -17.57 38 -16.16 242
2009 -0.14 670 9.55 389 -18.24 40 -16.39 230
2010 -0.76 680 8.89 388 -20.36 46 -16.69 234
2011 -1.28 674 8.59 388 -23.88 43 -16.88 231
2012 -2.59 679 8.25 388 -30.32 33 -18.36 245
2013 -4.32 631 7.56 377 -32.89 36 -20.90 207
2014 -5.86 652 6.74 377 -36.83 37 -22.69 229
2015 -6.61 634 6.08 377 -37.45 26 -23.58 223
2016 -6.44 602 5.73 375 -36.99 32 -22.80 187
2017 -7.48 378 5.67 314 -42.68 26 -26.55 29
2018 -7.43 325 5.79 310 -42.26 7 -29.81 7

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How this indicator was calculated

Note: Trends are calculated based on the proportional change in population abundance for monitored vertebrate species. All species are weighted equally, such that a species that doubled in population would be balanced out by a species that declined by half. Direct comparisons with the previous version of the index cannot be made as there are differences across the whole time-series. See Recent changes.
Source: Zoological Society of London (2023).

The national index includes 928 species of birds, fish, mammals, amphibians and reptiles. The number of species represents 52% of the 1 798 native vertebrate species that regularly occur in Canada.Footnote 2 While there is an overall decrease in the national average trend across all monitored species, some species are increasing while others are decreasing.

The bird index includes 397 species and represents the largest number of species in the indicator. This accounts for 87% of native bird species. The average change in bird species populations is moderately positive, in part due to the increases in populations of waterfowls, birds of prey, and wetland birds and seabirds.Footnote 3 However, populations of shorebirds, grassland birds and aerial insectivores are in steep decline,Footnote 3  as are some of Canada's most common bird species (such as the Dark-eyed Junco, a forest bird).Footnote 4

The fish index includes 375 species of freshwater and marine fish, and accounts for 35% of native fish species. The decline in the population abundance of fish species is mainly attributed to the decline in the population of marine fish species.

The mammal index includes 108 species, which make up 55% of native mammal species. The decline of many mammal species is mainly attributed to fragmentation and loss of remaining habitat. A wide range of species, from large bears to small squirrels, can have difficulty surviving in isolated and fragmented habitats.Footnote 5

Amphibians and reptiles are included in the national Canadian species index. However, given the poor geographical extent and coverage across the reporting period, the index for amphibians and reptiles may not be representative and is therefore not shown separately. Amphibians and reptiles have a high proportion of species at risk of extinction. The General status of wild species indicator shows that 67% (33 of 49) of reptile species and 40% (19 of 47) of amphibian species are at risk of disappearing.Footnote 6

By system

Canadian species index by system

Wildlife species can be assigned to the terrestrial, freshwater or marine system based on the location where the species was monitored and the species' biology. 

Key results

From 1970 to 2018,

  • the index for the terrestrial system, which includes most of the bird and mammal populations, and some reptiles and amphibians, decreased by 14%
  • the index for the marine system, which includes mammals (such as whales and seals), birds (such as terns), 1 reptile (the leatherback turtle) and most of the fish populations decreased by 16%
  • the index for the freshwater system, which includes birds (such as waterfowl), 2 mammals (beaver and river otter), fish, and the majority of amphibian and reptile populations, increased by 38%

Canadian species index by system, 1970 to 2018

Canadian species index, 1970 to 2018 (see long description below)
Data table for the long description
Canadian species index by system, 1970 to 2018
Year Terrestrial index
(percent change since 1970)
Number of terrestrial species Freshwater index
(percent change since 1970)
Number of freshwater species Marine index
(percent change since 1970)
Number of marine species
1970 0.00 270 0.00 74 0.00 106
1971 -0.04 274 3.08 76 4.88 112
1972 -0.35 276 5.94 80 9.42 106
1973 -0.90 278 8.47 79 12.88 119
1974 -2.05 292 11.19 75 15.69 132
1975 -2.40 295 13.82 80 17.08 119
1976 -2.22 290 14.79 81 17.21 127
1977 -1.90 295 15.01 81 16.95 130
1978 -1.15 290 16.40 78 16.47 136
1979 -0.40 293 18.19 79 16.70 138
1980 0.65 294 20.21 85 16.85 139
1981 1.60 295 22.56 86 16.60 139
1982 1.34 294 24.85 83 15.93 148
1983 1.23 299 27.16 86 15.28 151
1984 2.44 296 29.24 89 14.88 181
1985 3.27 301 31.14 90 15.12 161
1986 4.31 301 32.47 94 14.09 165
1987 3.93 303 32.04 94 11.51 189
1988 3.72 293 32.61 95 9.29 163
1989 3.63 299 33.30 97 6.67 184
1990 3.60 309 37.03 99 4.39 160
1991 3.48 308 38.27 97 2.95 186
1992 3.25 309 39.67 110 1.93 162
1993 2.72 314 42.55 108 2.12 193
1994 1.60 316 46.97 119 3.61 172
1995 0.79 322 49.31 116 4.24 166
1996 0.59 313 47.62 117 4.84 166
1997 0.07 320 45.40 121 5.51 143
1998 -1.52 318 43.43 125 5.37 175
1999 -3.56 325 43.60 120 5.36 148
2000 -4.88 323 43.54 122 5.26 171
2001 -6.10 322 44.34 130 5.67 150
2002 -6.99 320 45.04 140 4.77 165
2003 -7.28 313 44.99 142 3.79 211
2004 -7.09 319 44.83 133 1.97 226
2005 -6.64 320 44.67 131 1.73 250
2006 -6.40 309 45.09 143 1.45 235
2007 -6.42 308 44.46 124 0.89 274
2008 -7.14 301 42.89 137 -0.03 253
2009 -8.14 301 41.76 129 -0.43 252
2010 -9.21 303 41.63 136 -1.22 253
2011 -10.23 301 41.93 129 -1.93 258
2012 -11.49 299 41.85 142 -4.35 246
2013 -12.39 296 39.87 112 -7.47 229
2014 -13.28 300 37.56 125 -9.77 237
2015 -13.55 294 36.56 122 -11.12 222
2016 -13.44 301 36.52 90 -10.82 214
2017 -14.25 255 37.83 86 -16.94 37
2018 -14.21 237 37.71 66 -16.49 22

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How this indicator was calculated

Note: Trends are calculated based on the proportional change in population abundance for monitored vertebrate species. All species are weighted equally, such that a species that doubled in population would be balanced out by a species that declined by half.
Source: Zoological Society of London (2023).

In terrestrial systems (while not shown in the figure above), the decline is steep for mammals (57% decrease), and reptiles and amphibians (42% decrease). However, many groups of small mammals, reptiles and amphibians are underrepresented in this analysis and as such, the decline may be larger than reported.

In the marine environment, while the populations of marine birds have increased and that of marine mammals has remained stable, the decline in marine fish species has been the main force behind the overall decreasing trend (a decline of 40% from 1970 levels). Overfishing remains the main threat to marine fish populations, but habitat loss and degradation, pollution, interactions with farmed fishes and the presence of invasive species also have negative impacts.Footnote 7 

The freshwater system index increased by 41% primarily due to increases in freshwater birds and fish. The index for freshwater birds, such as ducks, geese and swans, increased by 53% from 1970 to 2018, and the one for freshwater fishes increased by 28%.

About the indicator

About the indicator

What the indicator measures

The Canadian species index represents the average percent change in the abundances of Canadian vertebrate species' populations since 1970. The index is an "average of trends", rather than a measure of change in the total number of animals: each species, whether it is common or rare, has the same effect on the index. The index reports general trends rather than progress towards desired levels.

Why this indicator is important

Animal wildlife populations depend on healthy habitats and can be negatively impacted by threats, such as pollution, habitat degradation or overhunting. The status of wildlife populations is a key factor that contribute to ecosystem health and species' resilience to threats. Trends in animal populations can provide an indication of the health of biodiversity and ecosystems in Canada.

Related initiatives

This indicator supports the measurement of progress towards the following 2022 to 2026 Federal Sustainable Development Strategy Goal 15: Life on land – Protect and recover species, conserve Canadian biodiversity.

The indicator also contributes to the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework. It is linked to Goal A:

  • "The integrity, connectivity and resilience of all ecosystems are maintained, enhanced, or restored, substantially increasing the area of natural ecosystems by 2050;
  • Human induced extinction of known threatened species is halted, and, by 2050, extinction rate and risk of all species are reduced tenfold, and the abundance of native wild species is increased to healthy and resilient levels;
  • The genetic diversity within populations of wild and domesticated species, is maintained, safeguarding their adaptive potential."

It is also linked to Target 4 of the same framework: "Ensure urgent management actions, to halt human induced extinction of known threatened species and for the recovery and conservation of species, in particular threatened species, to significantly reduce extinction risk, as well as to maintain and restore the genetic diversity within and between populations of native, wild and domesticated species to maintain their adaptive potential, including through in situ and ex situ conservation and sustainable management practices, and effectively manage human-wildlife interactions to minimize human-wildlife conflict for coexistence."

Related indicators

The Species at risk population trends indicator shows whether population and distribution trends of species at risk that are listed under the Species at Risk Act are consistent with recovery or management objectives.

The General status of wild species indicator reports extinction risks across a broad set of species and can reveal early signs of trouble before species reach a critical condition.

The Trends in Canada's bird populations indicator reports average population trends of various groups of native Canadian bird species.

The Population status of Canada's migratory birds indicator provides a snapshot of the general state of birds in Canada that are listed in the Migratory Birds Convention Act.

Data sources and methods

Data sources and methods

Data sources

Data on changes in the abundance of vertebrate populations are gathered from a variety of sources and collated in the Living Planet Index database by the Zoological Society of London. Sources include peer-reviewed scientific literature, government reports, and reliable online databases. Examples of important sources include the North American Breeding Bird Survey and the Fisheries and Oceans Canada Library.

More information

Population data were gathered from the literature, by performing online searches and by contacting experts. Birds have been monitored at the national level since about 1970 with high-quality data readily available for this species group. Fewer data are available for other species groups. To help address the imbalance in the data available for the different species groups, targeted searches were carried out for under-represented groups. Searches were also conducted to locate data for under-represented regions.

Data include counts of individuals, as well as proxy measurements such as indices of abundance, spawning density, or detection rates of individuals. Each record is also tagged with geographical and ecological information to allow for further analysis. Together, these records form the data set used to calculate the indices.

Information for 937 (52%) of the 1 798 native regularly occurring vertebrate species has been captured in the data set.Footnote 8 Birds are the best represented species group, with about 89% of all bird species regularly occurring in Canada represented.

While many fish species are included (375 species), they account for only 35% of the total number of fish species regularly occurring in Canada.

While mammal species are included (108 species), they account for only 55% of the total number of mammal species regularly occurring in Canada.

Amphibians and reptiles are the least represented species group, as the data for the species regularly occurring in Canada have poor geographical coverage across the reporting period.

The index has been calculated for the period 1970 to 2018, as this is the time period over which sufficient data exist for credible estimates.

Methods

The trend in the population abundance of each species is estimated using all the information available for that particular species in Canada. This may include measurements from just one site/location, or measurements from a combination of sites/locations for the same species. These trends are averaged across all species to generate the Canadian species index.

The Canadian species index is broadly similar to the Living Planet Index. The Living Planet Index for Canada uses the same methods as the Canadian species index and reports different sub-indices.Footnote 9 However, the Living Planet Index excludes populations with only two data points and does not exclude overpopulated geese species.

More information

Data collection and tagging

To be included in this index, a time series, drawn from Canadian data contained in the Living Planet Index database must meet all of the following criteria:

  • contain data for at least 2 points in time since 1970
  • have been collected for a defined population using comparable methods across years
  • use units of population abundance or a reliable proxy, such as spawning biomass or density
  • have a referenced and traceable source

Each time series is referred to as a "population."

Each record is tagged with contextual information such as geographical region, species group and habitat type. Data tags allow a subset of the database to be extracted for targeted analysis. Information for these tags is drawn from the original data source if possible; however, additional reference material is also used. Species that occur in more than one system type (terrestrial, freshwater or marine) are tagged as belonging to the system in which they were observed and on which they rely on for at least part of their life cycle. For example, a time series containing the number of salmon spawning in rivers would be considered freshwater, while one containing observations at sea would be considered marine. These 2 time series would be considered different populations even though they may constitute the same population in the biological sense of the term.

Preprocessing

Species selection

Data for the overall index were restricted to vertebrate species that regularly occur in Canada. Classification was based on the Wild Species 2020 report. Species that were classified as "Not Applicable" were not included in the dataset as this classification is reserved for species that are not considered a suitable target for conservation. This includes exotic, hybrid or accidental species occurring infrequently and unpredictably in Canada. Species classified as "Presumed Extirpated" or "Probably Extirpated" were also excluded from the dataset, since they no longer occur in Canada.

Increasing population abundances are generally interpreted as a sign of environmental improvement. However, a few bird species are known to have a population abundance that is above acceptable bounds (see the Population status of Canada's migratory birds indicator), and for these species, an increase in population is a negative outcome. Three (3) species, Snow Goose (Anser caerulescens; both subspecies), Ross's Goose (Anser rossii) and Canada Goose (Branta canadensis), have been excluded from the index for this reason.

Species whose scientific name could not be matched to the taxonomic authorities used in the Living Planet Database were also excluded.

Population modelling

For each population, a record of abundance over time is created. Modelling is used to reduce the effect of random variations and measurement noise. For time series containing at least 6 data points, trends were modelled using Generalized Additive Modelling. For shorter time series, and for any series that could not be modelled with Generalized Additive Modelling, a linear regression model was used. For time series with only 2 data values, this is equivalent to a straight line connecting the 2 points. Time series are not extrapolated beyond the start and end date of observations.

In some years and for some time series, a 0 was recorded. In a few cases, this may be due to a local extinction, but more often, it is because wildlife are not observed. A failure to observe wildlife may be because there are few wildlife to observe, which is a genuine signal of low numbers. It could also mean that wildlife were simply not detected. When this happens, for example, if unusual weather conditions made movement patterns unpredictable; then a 0 would represent a missing value. For the purposes of the indicator, 0s have been treated as missing values, resulting in a conservative estimate of change. 

Calculation of the index

Trends within a time series

For each time series, proportional change dt is calculated for each year for which data exist, as follows:

dt = log10(Nt /N(t-1))

where:

Nt = modelled population size estimate in year t

N(t-1) = modelled population size estimate in year t-1

Index calculation

For species with more than 1 time series, the average proportional change (lambda, λ) is calculated for each year across all time series (including all subspecies) for that species.

Formally, for species i in year t:

Index calculation

where:

λi,t = average proportional change for species i in year t

di,j,t = proportional change for time series j, for species i in year t

m = number of time series for species i in year t

For a species with only 1 time series:

λi,t = di,t

The overall annual change is calculated as the average lambda across all species with data for that time step. In other words, the index for 2014 is the average λi for all species with population estimates in 2013 and 2014. Species are weighted equally, regardless of data availability.

The index for a particular year is the sum of annual changes since 1970.

Percentage changes are calculated using the following formula:

Percent change = (10λ – 1) × 100

Sub-indices are calculated using the same methodology, but for a selected subset of species or populations. 

Assessment of uncertainty

The degree of variability within the species-level lambdas (λ) for a given year provides an indication of whether trends are similar across the species included in the index. A narrow interval means that most species are changing by similar proportions, while a wide interval means that there is a wide range of patterns. Because indexed species are not a random or representative selection of the species in the environment, this can only be a partial assessment of uncertainty. The uncertainty due to a non-representative sample of species cannot be measured.

Distribution of species-level lambda values, national and by system, 1970 to 2018

Distribution of species-level lambda values, 1970 to 2018 (see long description below)
Data table for the long description
Distribution of species-level lambda values, national and by system, 1970 to 2018
Year National index, average lambda National index, standard deviation National index, number of species Terrestrial index, average lambda Terrestrial index, standard deviation Terrestrial index, number of species Freshwater index, average lambda Freshwater index, standard deviation Freshwater index, number of species Marine index, average lambda Marine index, standard deviation Marine index, number of species
1970 n/a n/a 449 n/a n/a 270 n/a n/a 74 n/a n/a 106
1971 0.00623 -0.05201 460 -0.00015 0.04915 274 0.01318 0.08973 76 0.02070 0.06897 112
1972 0.00517 -0.04889 461 -0.00136 0.05023 276 0.01188 0.06847 80 0.01838 0.06061 106
1973 0.00364 -0.04832 475 -0.00241 0.04943 278 0.01027 0.04414 79 0.01354 0.06055 119
1974 0.00190 -0.05032 498 -0.00505 0.05356 292 0.01076 0.03944 75 0.01067 0.05510 132
1975 0.00230 -0.04649 493 -0.00160 0.04684 295 0.01015 0.04050 80 0.00518 0.05726 119
1976 0.00132 -0.04341 497 0.00081 0.03925 290 0.00369 0.04780 81 0.00049 0.05369 127
1977 0.00077 -0.04802 505 0.00142 0.04855 295 0.00081 0.04595 81 -0.00095 0.05199 130
1978 0.00228 -0.04075 503 0.00332 0.03803 290 0.00522 0.03862 78 -0.00179 0.05400 136
1979 0.00311 -0.03308 509 0.00329 0.02839 293 0.00664 0.03303 79 0.00085 0.04871 138
1980 0.00366 -0.03286 517 0.00454 0.03246 294 0.00736 0.02926 85 0.00057 0.04602 139
1981 0.00316 -0.03537 519 0.00409 0.03440 295 0.00839 0.03415 86 -0.00093 0.04719 139
1982 -0.00006 -0.04491 524 -0.00111 0.04244 294 0.00807 0.03545 83 -0.00253 0.05272 148
1983 0.00040 -0.04364 535 -0.00046 0.04004 299 0.00796 0.03682 86 -0.00243 0.05360 151
1984 0.00344 -0.04633 565 0.00512 0.05213 296 0.00703 0.04060 89 -0.00149 0.04982 181
1985 0.00287 -0.04495 551 0.00353 0.05332 301 0.00633 0.04315 90 0.00091 0.04211 161
1986 0.00126 -0.04895 558 0.00435 0.04815 301 0.00439 0.05115 94 -0.00392 0.05610 165
1987 -0.00462 -0.05617 585 -0.00161 0.02465 303 -0.00140 0.04798 94 -0.00993 0.07889 189
1988 -0.00316 -0.04954 549 -0.00086 0.03541 293 0.00186 0.03780 95 -0.00872 0.06279 163
1989 -0.00338 -0.04874 579 -0.00039 0.03328 299 0.00226 0.03533 97 -0.01054 0.06172 184
1990 -0.00110 -0.05200 567 -0.00011 0.03253 309 0.01200 0.07374 99 -0.00941 0.05668 160
1991 -0.00154 -0.04748 590 -0.00049 0.04233 308 0.00391 0.05132 97 -0.00601 0.04791 186
1992 -0.00114 -0.04372 580 -0.00098 0.03893 309 0.00438 0.03690 110 -0.00433 0.04995 162
1993 0.00082 -0.05535 613 -0.00225 0.03353 314 0.00886 0.08262 108 0.00082 0.06377 193
1994 0.00234 -0.06045 606 -0.00473 0.04784 316 0.01326 0.09327 119 0.00629 0.06023 172
1995 0.00033 -0.04686 603 -0.00348 0.02997 322 0.00685 0.06578 116 0.00260 0.05704 166
1996 -0.00083 -0.05801 595 -0.00085 0.03880 313 -0.00494 0.07324 117 0.00249 0.07020 166
1997 -0.00176 -0.04975 583 -0.00226 0.03716 320 -0.00657 0.06152 121 0.00280 0.05393 143
1998 -0.00512 -0.05852 617 -0.00695 0.03901 318 -0.00595 0.08006 125 -0.00060 0.05096 175
1999 -0.00457 -0.05267 592 -0.00913 0.03852 325 0.00053 0.06733 120 -0.00004 0.04687 148
2000 -0.00358 -0.04743 616 -0.00595 0.03480 323 -0.00019 0.05529 122 -0.00040 0.04813 171
2001 -0.00227 -0.05530 601 -0.00563 0.03097 322 0.00240 0.06047 130 0.00170 0.07399 150
2002 -0.00297 -0.05024 625 -0.00415 0.03095 320 0.00212 0.04897 140 -0.00373 0.06675 165
2003 -0.00206 -0.08261 664 -0.00134 0.03374 313 -0.00015 0.13929 142 -0.00410 0.07763 211
2004 -0.00223 -0.07043 675 0.00089 0.03408 319 -0.00050 0.06535 133 -0.00766 0.10071 226
2005 0.00042 -0.06099 695 0.00211 0.03346 320 -0.00048 0.06721 131 -0.00103 0.08241 250
2006 0.00066 -0.05380 676 0.00110 0.03111 309 0.00128 0.07665 143 -0.00120 0.06401 235
2007 -0.00063 -0.04345 696 -0.00009 0.02389 308 -0.00189 0.05419 124 -0.00239 0.05634 274
2008 -0.00320 -0.05213 678 -0.00333 0.03081 301 -0.00477 0.04995 137 -0.00400 0.06556 253
2009 -0.00245 -0.05306 670 -0.00469 0.03315 301 -0.00343 0.06152 129 -0.00175 0.06229 252
2010 -0.00271 -0.05107 680 -0.00510 0.02785 303 -0.00039 0.05917 136 -0.00347 0.06305 253
2011 -0.00230 -0.05349 674 -0.00491 0.02906 301 0.00091 0.05374 129 -0.00312 0.07107 258
2012 -0.00578 -0.06255 679 -0.00613 0.03353 299 -0.00025 0.05664 142 -0.01087 0.07934 246
2013 -0.00779 -0.06261 631 -0.00445 0.02836 296 -0.00610 0.05315 112 -0.01439 0.07953 229
2014 -0.00705 -0.06494 652 -0.00445 0.03452 300 -0.00725 0.04644 125 -0.01093 0.08397 237
2015 -0.00348 -0.05819 634 -0.00133 0.03632 294 -0.00314 0.05246 122 -0.00654 0.07323 222
2016 0.00080 -0.04894 602 0.00054 0.03156 301 -0.00015 0.05038 90 0.00147 0.06882 214
2017 -0.00482 -0.09135 378 -0.00407 0.08732 255 0.00416 0.05836 86 -0.03087 0.12522 37
2018 0.00021 -0.02749 325 0.00018 0.02469 237 -0.00040 0.03807 66 0.00236 0.02230 22

Note: n/a = not applicable.

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Note: The dots show the average annual lambda across all species; vertical bars show the standard deviation of average annual lambda across all species.
Source: Zoological Society of London (2023).

Distribution of species-level lambda values, species group, 1970 to 2018

Distribution of species-level lambda values, 1970 to 2018 (see long description below)
Data table for the long description
Distribution of species-level lambda values, species group, 1970 to 2018
Year Bird index, average lambda Bird index, standard deviation Bird index, number of species Mammal index, average lambda Mammal index, standard deviation Mammal index, number of species Fish index, average lambda Fish index, standard deviation Fish index, number of species Reptile and amphibian index, average lambda Reptile and amphibian, standard deviation Reptile and amphibian, number of species
1970 n/a n/a 337 n/a n/a 27 n/a n/a 85 n/a n/a no data
1971 0.00546 0.03433 339 -0.04005 0.12784 31 0.02398 0.08550 90 n/a n/a no data
1972 0.00555 0.03233 342 -0.03529 0.12042 32 0.01761 0.06936 82 n/a n/a 5
1973 0.00586 0.03131 342 -0.03216 0.11567 37 0.00961 0.06597 96 -0.00469 0.01304 1
1974 0.00669 0.03022 357 -0.05152 0.12123 34 0.00628 0.05732 107 -0.00469 0.01304 2
1975 0.00626 0.02936 365 -0.03194 0.11213 32 0.00136 0.05982 95 -0.00469 0.01304 1
1976 0.00502 0.02851 362 -0.01183 0.09719 29 -0.00494 0.05889 104 -0.02763 0.05739 2
1977 0.00351 0.02756 364 0.00059 0.13062 37 -0.00435 0.05378 102 -0.05254 0.08420 2
1978 0.00290 0.02683 367 0.02033 0.09406 27 -0.00433 0.05701 108 -0.00469 0.01304 1
1979 0.00340 0.02496 367 0.01693 0.05752 29 -0.00124 0.05222 113 -0.00232 0.01302 1
1980 0.00370 0.02360 369 0.02179 0.07419 30 -0.00114 0.04824 117 -0.00232 0.01302 2
1981 0.00319 0.02339 369 0.02160 0.08235 29 -0.00170 0.05162 119 0.002059 0.01499 3
1982 0.00225 0.02344 371 -0.00661 0.09936 28 -0.00249 0.05904 122 -0.0448 0.12127 3
1983 0.00195 0.02318 378 -0.01029 0.10544 26 -0.00190 0.05983 128 0.014166 0.04175 3
1984 0.00586 0.04327 376 -0.00707 0.08389 30 -0.00020 0.05583 156 -0.00271 0.02227 8
1985 0.00581 0.04372 381 -0.00845 0.05229 31 0.00133 0.04698 131 -0.04859 0.12987 7
1986 0.00495 0.04435 381 -0.00720 0.04532 29 -0.00566 0.06197 141 0.006028 0.04988 8
1987 -0.00156 0.04698 377 -0.00912 0.04489 39 -0.01062 0.06231 161 -0.0029 0.03467 7
1988 0.00006 0.02231 376 0.00725 0.08938 33 -0.01242 0.06562 133 -0.00578 0.03202 8
1989 0.00038 0.02395 376 0.00888 0.07085 38 -0.01446 0.06612 157 -0.00909 0.02838 12
1990 0.00074 0.02502 378 0.01044 0.06714 47 -0.01306 0.05972 130 0.064507 0.18152 13
1991 0.00089 0.02361 379 0.00751 0.09489 42 -0.00976 0.05121 156 0.005342 0.11790 13
1992 0.00080 0.02315 384 0.00072 0.08562 41 -0.00627 0.05315 142 0.005337 0.06283 14
1993 0.00024 0.02423 384 -0.00270 0.06742 47 0.00373 0.08886 168 -0.00929 0.07872 16
1994 -0.00064 0.02374 385 -0.00721 0.10821 51 0.01298 0.08804 154 -0.0233 0.13241 19
1995 -0.00149 0.02288 387 0.00998 0.05854 56 0.00483 0.07434 141 -0.03138 0.09135 21
1996 -0.00242 0.02147 380 0.02271 0.07847 52 -0.00130 0.08065 142 -0.03077 0.12852 22
1997 -0.00327 0.02093 381 0.01679 0.07371 58 -0.00632 0.07419 122 0.002059 0.03809 23
1998 -0.00390 0.02217 381 -0.00289 0.06863 56 -0.00941 0.06974 157 -0.00247 0.13914 27
1999 -0.00453 0.02361 381 -0.01000 0.06445 61 -0.00612 0.05680 123 0.014264 0.12727 25
2000 -0.00487 0.02315 383 -0.00587 0.06595 59 -0.00285 0.06334 149 0.01513 0.05531 23
2001 -0.00317 0.04253 382 -0.00993 0.06152 62 0.00031 0.06934 134 0.016325 0.05287 27
2002 -0.00385 0.02173 381 -0.00802 0.06068 56 -0.00349 0.07451 161 0.026375 0.05720 28
2003 -0.00306 0.03007 381 0.00178 0.07136 51 -0.00247 0.13632 204 0.00729 0.12411 27
2004 0.00077 0.02191 385 0.01301 0.06601 53 -0.01585 0.11009 210 0.022808 0.08504 24
2005 0.00224 0.03036 391 0.01322 0.07289 51 -0.00669 0.09002 229 0.004862 0.06084 24
2006 0.00180 0.02695 381 0.01012 0.03798 44 -0.00158 0.08077 227 -0.01603 0.06846 17
2007 -0.00079 0.01774 388 0.00847 0.03683 45 -0.00313 0.06255 246 0.013398 0.06342 9
2008 -0.00327 0.03136 389 0.00207 0.05030 38 -0.00481 0.06582 242 0.013682 0.04450 11
2009 -0.00385 0.03293 389 -0.00352 0.05522 40 -0.00120 0.06699 230 0.014622 0.04890 12
2010 -0.00264 0.02695 388 -0.01142 0.05993 46 -0.00156 0.06518 234 0.005242 0.05635 12
2011 -0.00121 0.02809 388 -0.01964 0.08538 43 -0.00099 0.06557 231 0.007925 0.03762 13
2012 -0.00135 0.03029 388 -0.03835 0.09461 33 -0.00781 0.07374 245 0.01602 0.02236 11
2013 -0.00279 0.02413 377 -0.01633 0.06479 36 -0.01373 0.07834 207 -0.00113 0.05669 9
2014 -0.00333 0.02384 377 -0.02630 0.08097 37 -0.00996 0.08295 229 0.000906 0.03780 8
2015 -0.00270 0.02648 377 -0.00426 0.09150 26 -0.00502 0.07769 223 0.007909 0.02944 8
2016 -0.00142 0.02828 375 0.00318 0.05715 32 0.00443 0.07619 187 0.010938 0.03060 9
2017 -0.00025 0.02672 314 -0.04110 0.26147 26 -0.02162 0.16581 29 -0.0014 0.03435 1
2018 0.00050 0.02587 310 0.00319 0.04316 7 -0.01977 0.06707 7 0.02739 0.01304 1

Note: No species data was available for reptiles and amphibians for 1970 and 1971. n/a = not applicable.

Download data file (Excel/CSV; 4.88 kB)

Note: The dots show the average annual lambda across all species; vertical bars show the standard deviation of average annual lambda across all species. Given the poor geographical extent and coverage across the reporting period, data for amphibians and reptiles may not be representative and is therefore not shown in the figure.
Source: Zoological Society of London (2023).

Recent changes

The previous version of the indicator used the previous Wild Species reports to determine regularly occurring vertebrate species in Canada. The current release uses the Wild Species 2020 report. The number of regularly occurring species differs between the versions of the indicator, because one of the goals of the Wild Species report series is to continually increase the number of species assessed until coverage is complete.

Caveats and limitations

The Canadian species index indicator was developed from the Living Planet Index. The methodology for the indicator has been improved and revised, so the 2 indices are not comparable.

The national trend is the average rate of change across all monitored vertebrate species. The indices may reflect changes in data availability. Data are not available for all species and do not always cover the geographic range of each species or the whole time period reported.

While large scale trends broadly reflect environmental change, smaller scale subindices can be subject to change if species with a different trajectory are added. Often, these 2 factors are both present.

The index uses previously collected data. It is therefore biased towards certain species (for example, species that are easy to observe, species that are managed for human use or for conservation, and species with aesthetic appeal). Birds are well represented, but most other vertebrate groups are not. Some species are represented by data that come from a local study involving a small part of the total population. While there is considerable uncertainty surrounding the trends for these species, combining data for many species leads to more interpretable results.

This indicator only captures recent changes in biodiversity and likely underestimates the overall anthropogenic impact on species.

The index should be interpreted with these limitations in mind.

There are similarities with the Canadian species index and the indicators used in the State of Canada’s Birds report, in that both are averages of trends. However, there are also differences, as the Canadian species index for birds includes a slightly different set of species (408 species compared to 349 for the State of Canada's Birds) and data sources and does not incorporate estimates of uncertainty in the data. Species whose range expanded into Canada after 1970 were not included in the analysis. These are: Wild Turkey, Anna's Hummingbird, Black-necked Stilt, Great Egret, Red-bellied Woodpecker, Bushtit, Carolina Wren, Blue-gray Gnatcatcher, and Blue-winged Warbler. The Canadian species index also includes populations with only two data points.

The Canadian species index does not measure the change in the total number of birds or other species groups. By contrast, a recent scientific study showed an overall decline in birds because it was much more sensitive to changes in populations of abundant species than changes in rare species, and many of our most abundant species have declined (for example, Dark-eyed Junco and Savannah Sparrow).Footnote 4 

Finally, new data for earlier time periods continue to be added to the database, improving estimates of change over time. For these reasons, direct comparisons with the previous version of the index cannot be made.

More information

The Canadian species index has been developed from the Living Planet Index, originally conceived by the World Wildlife Fund and now developed in partnership with the Zoological Society of London. The index is based on a peer-reviewed method that can integrate many types of population measurements.Footnote 10 

The index is descriptive. Because the underlying data have been collected for other purposes, the set of species contained in the index has unknown sampling biases. For this reason, it does not meet the requirement for randomized sampling that is necessary for traditional statistical hypothesis testing, and changes in the index cannot be tested for statistical significance. Trends in the index provides an indication of trends in the environment, and can be used to identify where additional analysis or information is required.

Averaging trends across all populations within each species can obscure important variability among subspecies, varieties or geographic regions. Averaging trends across species may also obscure important information. Analysis of different parts of the dataset can help uncover these patterns.

Population abundance measurements always include some uncertainty, because not every individual animal can be found and counted at every sampling interval. The effect of uncertainty in measurement cannot be separated from genuine changes in population abundance. Random variability may lead to a few more or less individuals being counted. If this variability leads to a large proportional change, as is the case when the average number of individuals found is small, the resulting uncertainty in the index can be large. However, uncertainty does average out over longer time series and over species. For this reason, interpretation of small subsets of data must be done with an understanding of the context of the biology of the species that are included and the strengths and weaknesses of the monitoring protocols.

Only vertebrate species are included in the index, because they are the only group with sufficient population-level data. Invertebrates and plants tend to be monitored using area of occurrence, a type of data not readily integrated into the index.

Resources

Resources

References

Canadian Endangered Species Conservation Council (2023) Wild Species 2020: The General Status of Species in Canada. National General Status Working Group. Retrieved on May 4, 2023.

Collen B, Loh J, Whitmee S, McRae L, Amin R and Baillie JEM (2009) Monitoring Change in Vertebrate Abundance: the Living Planet Index. Conservation Biology 23(2): 317-327.

North American Bird Conservation Initiative Canada (2019) The State of Canada's Birds 2019. Environment and Climate Change Canada.

Parks Canada (2022) Stressors. Retrieved on May 4, 2023.

Rosenberg KV, Dokter AM, Blancher PJ, Sauer JR, Smith AC, Smith PA, Stanton JC, Panjabi A, Helft L, Parr M, Marra PP (2019) Decline of the North American avifauna. Science 366(6461): 120-124.

WWF-Canada (2020) Living Planet Report Canada. Retrieved on May 4, 2023.

Related information

Arctic Species Trend Index (ASTI)

Living Planet Report 2022

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